Huntington Bancshares (Huntington Bancshares) Predictability Rank

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What is Huntington Bancshares Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Huntington Bancshares Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Huntington Bancshares Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Huntington Bancshares (Huntington Bancshares) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Huntington Bancshares Inc (NAS:HBAN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

HBANM.PFD:USA HBANP.PFD:USA 1HU3:Italy HU3:Germany HU3:Germany H1BA34:Brazil

Address

41 South High Street, Huntington Center, Columbus, OH, USA, 43287

Website

https://www.huntington.com

Huntington Bancshares is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. The bank has a network of branches and ATMs across eight Midwestern states. Founded in 1866, Huntington National Bank and its affiliates provide consumer, small-business, commercial, treasury management, wealth management, brokerage, trust, and insurance services. Huntington also provides auto dealer, equipment finance, national settlement, and capital market services that extend beyond its core states.

Executives

Helga Houston	officer: Senior Exec. V. P.	516 S. NEW HOPE ROAD, P.O. BOX 2636, GASTONIA NC 28053
Donnell R White	officer: Chief DEI Officer, SVP	333 W FORT STREET, SUITE 1800, DETROIT MI 48226
Marcy C Hingst	officer: SEVP and General Counsel	HUNTINGTON CENTER, 41 S HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43287
Paul G Heller	officer: Sr. EVP & Chief Technology and	HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCORPORATED, 41 S. HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Rafael Diaz-granados	director	HUNTINGTON CENTER, 41 S HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43287
Gary Torgow	director	235 EAST MAIN STREET, MIDLAND MI 48640
Zachary Jacob Wasserman	officer: CFO and Senior Exec. VP	HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCORPORATED, 41 S. HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Kenneth J Phelan	director	HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCORPORATED, 41 S. HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
David L Porteous	director	P.O. BOX 44, REED CITY MI 49677
Michael Scott Jones	officer: SEVP of Significant Subsidiary	200 LAKE STREET EAST, WAYZATA MN 55391
Donald Lee Dennis	officer: EVP of Principal Subsidiary	HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCORPORATED, 41 S. HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Scott D Kleinman	officer: Sr. EVP of Principal Sub.	HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCORPORATED, 41 SOUTH HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43287
Steven Lee Rhodes	officer: EVP of Principal Subsidiary	HUNTINGTON BANCSHARES INCORPORATED, 41 S. HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Richard H King	director	200 LAKE STREET EAST, WAYZATA MN 55391
Stephen D Steinour	director, officer: President, CEO & Chairman	C/O KEANE INC, TEN CITY SQ, BOSTON MA 02129