Flotek Industries (Flotek Industries) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1998. Start your Free Trial

What is Flotek Industries Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Flotek Industries Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Flotek Industries Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Flotek Industries's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Flotek Industries (Flotek Industries) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Flotek Industries Inc (NYSE:FTK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

8846 North Sam Houston Parkway West, Suite 150, Houston, TX, USA, 77064

Website

https://www.flotekind.com

Flotek Industries Inc delivers chemistry-based technology solutions for energy, industrial, and consumer applications. It develops and supplies chemistry and services to the oil and gas industries, and high-value compounds to companies that make food and beverages, cleaning products, cosmetics, and others. The company operates in the Chemistry Technologies segment which designs, develops, manufactures, packages, and markets chemistries that market specialty chemicals. Its Data Analytics segment enables users to maximize the value of their hydrocarbon-associated processes by providing analytics associated with the streams in seconds rather than minutes or days.

Executives

David Nierenberg	director	19605 NE 8TH STREET, CAMAS WA 98607
Ryan Gillis Ezell	officer: SVP, Operations	10603 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY W., SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77064
Matthew Wilks	director	17010 IH-20, CISCO TX 76437
James Bond Clement	officer: Chief Financial Officer	400 E. KALISTE SALOOM ROAD, SUITE 6000, LAFAYETTE LA 70508
Harshavardhan V Agadi	director	5755 NORTH POINT PKWAY #266, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Gibson John W Jr	director, officer: CEO and President	10603 W. SAM HOUSTON PKWY N., SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77064
Profrac Holding Corp.	10 percent owner	333 SHOPS BOULEVARD, SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Evan R Farber	director	7903 KENTUCKY AVE., BETHESDA MD 20814
Seham Saleh Carson	officer: Interim CFO	3318 RAVENS ROOST, MISSOURI CITY TX 77459
Profrac Holdings Ii, Llc	10 percent owner	333 SHOPS BLVD., SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Profrac Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	333 SHOPS BLVD., SUITE 301, WILLOW PARK TX 76087
Thrc Management, Llc	10 percent owner	17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Thrc Holdings, Lp	10 percent owner	17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Staci Wilks	10 percent owner	17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437
Farris Wilks	10 percent owner	17018 INTERSTATE 20, CISCO TX 76437