Enterprise Products Partners LP (Enterprise Products Partners LP) Predictability Rank

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What is Enterprise Products Partners LP Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Enterprise Products Partners LP Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Enterprise Products Partners LP (Enterprise Products Partners LP) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Enterprise Products Partners LP (NYSE:EPD) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1100 Louisiana Street, 10th Floor, Houston, TX, USA, 77002

Website

https://www.enterpriseproducts.com

Enterprise Products Partners is a master limited partnership that transports and processes natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, refined products and petrochemicals. It is one of the largest midstream companies, with operations servicing most producing regions in the Lower 48 states. Enterprise is particularly dominant in the NGL market and is one of the few MLPs that provide midstream services across the full hydrocarbon value chain.

Executives

Aj Teague	officer: Executive Vice President	1100 LOUISIANA 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
John R Rutherford	director	1100 LOUISIANA STREET, 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
William C Montgomery	director	C/O APACHE CORPORATION, 2000 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77056
Rebecca G. Followill	director	1100 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Carin Marcy Barth	director
Randa Duncan Williams	10 percent owner	1100 LOUISIANA 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
Graham W. Bacon	officer: Group Senior Vice President	1100 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Richard H Bachmann	director, officer: Executive VP & CLO	1100 LOUISIANA 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
W Randall Fowler	director, officer: Sr. Vice President & Treasurer	1100 LOUISIANA 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
Robert D Sanders	officer: EVP, Asset Optimization	1100 LOUISIANA, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Christian M. Nelly	officer: EVP-Finance and Treasurer	1100 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Murray E Brasseux	director	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027
James T Hackett	director	C/O FLUOR CORPORATION, 6700 LAS COLINAS BLVD, IRVING TX 75039
Edwin E Smith	director	1100 LOUISIANA 10TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77002
Brent B. Secrest	officer: Senior Vice President	1100 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002