DXP Enterprises (DXP Enterprises) Predictability Rank

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What is DXP Enterprises Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

DXP Enterprises Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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DXP Enterprises (DXP Enterprises) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Distribution » DXP Enterprises Inc (NAS:DXPE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

DX7:Germany

Address

5301 Hollister, Houston, TX, USA, 77040

Website

https://www.dxpe.com

DXP Enterprises Inc is a distributor of products and services to industrial customers in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Dubai. The company's reportable segments include Service Centers, Innovative Pumping Solutions and Supply Chain Services. It generates maximum revenue from the Service Centers segment. The company offers pumping solutions, supply chain services and maintenance, repair, operating and production services for rotating equipment, bearings and power transmissions, industrial supplies and safety products. DXP Enterprises serves the oil and gas, general manufacturing, chemical, reseller, transportation, fabrication and construction, food and beverage, aerospace mining, agriculture, power, and refining industries.

Executives

Paz Maestas	officer: CMO & CTO	5301 HOLLISTER ST, HOUSTON TX 77040
David Molero Santos	officer: CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER	5301 HOLLISTER ST, HOUSTON TX 77040
Todd Hamlin	officer: Sr. Vice President	7272 PINEMONT DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77040
David R Little	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman & CEO	7272 PINEMONT DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77040
Yee Kent Nee Hung	officer: Sr. Vice President	7272 PINEMONT DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77040
David C Vinson	officer: Sr, V.P. Operations
Nicholas Little	officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER	5301 HOLLISTER ST, HOUSTON TX 77040
Christopher T Gregory	officer: Sr. Vice President	7272 PINEMONT DR, HOUSTON TX 77040
Karen Hoffman	director	5301 HOLLISTER ST, HOUSTON TX 77040
Gene Padgett	officer: SVP/Chief Accounting Officer	VALMONT INDUSTRIES, INC., 15000 VALMONT PLAZA, OMAHA NE 68154
Joseph R Mannes	director	4016 MCFARLIN BLVD, DALLAS TX 75205
Timothy P Halter	director	174 FM 1830, ARGYLE TX 76226
David Patton	director	7272 PINEMONT DR, HOUSTON TX 77040
Cletus Davis	director
John Jay Jeffery	officer: Sr. V.P.	7272 PINEMONT DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77040