Diamond Offshore Drilling (Diamond Offshore Drilling) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is Diamond Offshore Drilling Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Diamond Offshore Drilling Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Diamond Offshore Drilling Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Diamond Offshore Drilling's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Diamond Offshore Drilling (Diamond Offshore Drilling) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc (NYSE:DO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

DO10:Germany

Address

15415 Katy Freeway, Houston, TX, USA, 77094

Website

http://www.diamondoffshore.com

Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc is a leader in offshore drilling, providing contract drilling services to the energy industry around the globe with a total fleet of 12 offshore drilling rigs, consisting of eight semisubmersibles and four dynamically positioned drillships.

Executives

Dominic A Savarino	officer: VP and Chief Acct/Tax Officer	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Patrice D Douglas	director	1712 CROSSBOW, EDMOND OK 73034
Benjamin Duster	director	200 E. 84ST, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10028
Ane Launy	director	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Patrick Carey Lowe	director	6 CHESTERFIELD GARDENS, 3RD FLOOR, LONDON X0 W1J 5BQ
Adam C Peakes	director	13135 S. DAIRY ASHFORD, STE. 800, SUGAR LAND TX 77478
Bernie G. Wolford	director, officer: President and CEO	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 770904
Neal P Goldman	director	10700 PARKRIDGE BLVD., RESTON VA 20191
John Hollowell	director	ONE SHELL PLAZA, 910 LOUISIANA STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Raj Iyer	director	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Peter Mcteague	director	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Alan H Howard	director
Anatol Feygin	director	700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Scott Lee Kornblau	officer: Acting Chief Financial Officer	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094
Thomas Roth	officer: Senior Vice President	15415 KATY FREEWAY, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77094