Cognizant Technology Solutions (Cognizant Technology Solutions) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1998. Start your Free Trial

What is Cognizant Technology Solutions Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Cognizant Technology Solutions Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cognizant Technology Solutions's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Cognizant Technology Solutions (Cognizant Technology Solutions) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp (NAS:CTSH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CTSH:Mexico COZ:Germany COZ:Germany CTSH34:Brazil

Address

300 Frank West Burr Boulevard, Suite 36, 6th Floor, Teaneck, NJ, USA, 07666

Website

https://www.cognizant.com

Cognizant is a global IT services provider, offering consulting and outsourcing services to some of the world's largest enterprises spanning the financial services, media and communications, healthcare, natural resources, and consumer products industries. Cognizant employs nearly 300,000 people globally, roughly 70% of whom are in India, although the company's headquarters are in Teaneck, New Jersey.

Executives

Michael Patsalos-fox	director	300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Mackay Leo S. Jr.	director	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP., 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Robert C. Walker	officer: EVP & Pres, Global Growth Mkts	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS, 300 FRANK W. BURR BOULEVARD, TEANECK NJ 07666
Abraham Schot	director	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP, 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD. STE 36, 6 FL, TEANECK NJ 07666
Zein Abdalla	director	700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, 1/2, PURCHASE NY 10577
Maureen Breakiron-evans	director	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP., 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Kathryn Diaz	officer: SVP & Interim Chief People Off	300 FRANK W BURR BLVD, TEANECK NJ 07666
Eric Branderiz	director	915 DEGUIGNE DRIVE, PO BOX 3453, SUNNYVALE CA 94088-3453
Nella Domenici	director	C/O ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Ravi Kumar Singisetti	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	9405 SW GEMINI DRIVE, BEAVERTON OR 97008
Surya Gummadi	officer: SVP & Interim Americas Lead	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS, 300 FRANK W. BURR BOULEVARD, TEANECK NJ 07666
Andrew J Stafford	officer: EVP, Head of Global Delivery	C/O COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP., 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Stephen J Rohleder	director	C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, CHICAGO IL 60601
Rajesh Nambiar	officer: President, Digital Business	300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD, STE. 36, 6TH FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Robert Telesmanic	officer: SVP, Cont. & Chief Acct. Offc.	COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP., 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666