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Tokio Marine Holdings (Tokio Marine Holdings) Beneish M-Score : -2.34 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Tokio Marine Holdings Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.34 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tokio Marine Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TKOMY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.93   Med: -2.44   Max: -2.04
Current: -2.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Tokio Marine Holdings was -2.04. The lowest was -4.93. And the median was -2.44.


Tokio Marine Holdings Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Tokio Marine Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9978+0.892 * 0.9937+0.115 * 0.9809
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0113+4.679 * -0.028066-0.327 * 0.4887
=-2.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar23) TTM:Last Year (Mar22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $0 Mil.
Revenue was $48,201 Mil.
Gross Profit was $48,201 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,524 Mil.
Total Assets was $207,234 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,991 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,445 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,496 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,451 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,667 Mil.
Net Income was $2,816 Mil.
Gross Profit was $1,094 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was $7,538 Mil.
Total Receivables was $0 Mil.
Revenue was $48,505 Mil.
Gross Profit was $48,505 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,158 Mil.
Total Assets was $229,773 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,907 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,365 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $8,454 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,760 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,854 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(0 / 48201.3) / (0 / 48505.373)
=0 / 0
=1

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(48505.373 / 48505.373) / (48201.3 / 48201.3)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6523.754 + 2991.203) / 207234.213) / (1 - (7158.354 + 2906.987) / 229772.722)
=0.954086 / 0.956194
=0.9978

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=48201.3 / 48505.373
=0.9937

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1365.404 / (1365.404 + 2906.987)) / (1445.457 / (1445.457 + 2991.203))
=0.319588 / 0.325798
=0.9809

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(8496.255 / 48201.3) / (8454.2 / 48505.373)
=0.176266 / 0.174294
=1.0113

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1666.945 + 3451.363) / 207234.213) / ((1853.599 + 9759.541) / 229772.722)
=0.024698 / 0.050542
=0.4887

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2816.362 - 1094.451 - 7538.153) / 207234.213
=-0.028066

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Tokio Marine Holdings has a M-score of -2.45 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Tokio Marine Holdings Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Tokio Marine Holdings (Tokio Marine Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Tokio Marine Nichido Building Shinkan, 2-1, Marunouchi 1-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0005
Dating back to 1879, Tokio Marine is Japan's oldest insurance company and was its top property and casualty insurer in terms of market share for many decades. After mergers of its smaller rivals in the past few years, the company is now roughly the same size in the domestic nonlife market as MS&AD and Sompo Holdings, but it remains the most valuable listed Japanese insurer in terms of market capitalization due to its larger overseas business portfolio. The majority of its overseas business is in the U.S., where it has purchased four specialty insurers since 2008: Philadelphia Consolidated, Delphi Financial, HCC, and PURE. It is a member of the Mitsubishi keiretsu group and holds minority stakes in a number of group companies that also rank among its shareholders.