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McDonald's (McDonald's) Beneish M-Score : -2.39 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is McDonald's Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.39 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MCD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.86   Med: -2.65   Max: -2.33
Current: -2.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of McDonald's was -2.33. The lowest was -2.86. And the median was -2.65.


McDonald's Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Beneish M-Score Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.84 -2.67 -2.68 -2.36 -2.39

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.36 -2.27 -2.36 -2.36 -2.39

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Beneish M-Score falls into.



McDonald's Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of McDonald's for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0697+0.528 * 0.9973+0.404 * 1.0087+0.892 * 1.0997+0.115 * 0.9998
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8886+4.679 * -0.019488-0.327 * 0.9889
=-2.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,488 Mil.
Revenue was 6406.2 + 6692.2 + 6497.5 + 5897.8 = $25,494 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3654.2 + 3863.7 + 3731 + 3313.6 = $14,563 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,986 Mil.
Total Assets was $56,147 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $38,422 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,978 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,435 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $6,859 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $50,211 Mil.
Net Income was 2039 + 2317.1 + 2310.4 + 1802.3 = $8,469 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -21.8 + 33.4 + 41.7 + -102.2 = $-49 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2488.9 + 3029 + 1673.3 + 2420.7 = $9,612 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,115 Mil.
Revenue was 5926.5 + 5872.1 + 5718.4 + 5665.6 = $23,183 Mil.
Gross Profit was 3408.9 + 3446.1 + 3302.1 + 3050.1 = $13,207 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,424 Mil.
Total Assets was $50,436 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $36,339 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,871 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,492 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,802 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $48,038 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2488 / 25493.7) / (2115 / 23182.6)
=0.097593 / 0.091232
=1.0697

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(13207.2 / 23182.6) / (14562.5 / 25493.7)
=0.569703 / 0.57122
=0.9973

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7986.4 + 38422) / 56146.8) / (1 - (5424.2 + 36339.3) / 50435.6)
=0.173445 / 0.171944
=1.0087

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=25493.7 / 23182.6
=1.0997

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1870.6 / (1870.6 + 36339.3)) / (1978.2 / (1978.2 + 38422))
=0.048956 / 0.048965
=0.9998

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2435.2 / 25493.7) / (2492.2 / 23182.6)
=0.095522 / 0.107503
=0.8886

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((50210.6 + 6859) / 56146.8) / ((48037.9 + 3802.1) / 50435.6)
=1.016435 / 1.027845
=0.9889

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(8468.8 - -48.9 - 9611.9) / 56146.8
=-0.019488

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

McDonald's has a M-score of -2.39 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


McDonald's Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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McDonald's (McDonald's) Business Description

Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.
Executives
Heidi B Capozzi officer: EVP - Chief People Officer C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606-1596
Joseph M. Erlinger officer: President, McDonald's USA MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Marion K. Gross officer: EVP-Chief Supply Chain Officer MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Christopher J Kempczinski director, officer: President and CEO THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Brian S Rice officer: EVP-Global Chief Info. Officer 7000 CARDINAL PLACE, DUBLIN OH 43017
Edith Morgan Flatley officer: EVP - Global CMO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Ian Frederick Borden officer: EVP & CFO MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Enrique Jr Hernandez director, other: Non-Exec Chairman of the Board INTER-CON SECURITY SYSTEMS, INC., 210 SOUTH DELACEY AVENUE, PASADENA CA 91105
Desiree Ralls-morrison officer: EVP, Chief Legal Off. and Sec. C/O BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Manuel Jm Steijaert officer: EVP - Chief Customer Officer 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Jo Sempels officer: President, IDL MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine A. Hoovel officer: SVP - Corporate Controller MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Catherine M. Engelbert director 110 NORTH CARPENTER STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Rogers John W Jr director ARIEL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 200 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE, SUITE 2900, CHICAGO IL 60601
Jennifer L Taubert director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933

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