GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Aerospace & Defense » Hexcel Corp (NYSE:HXL) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score
中文

Hexcel (Hexcel) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1983. Start your Free Trial

What is Hexcel Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hexcel's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HXL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.08   Med: -2.62   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Hexcel was -2.27. The lowest was -3.08. And the median was -2.62.


Hexcel Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hexcel's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hexcel Beneish M-Score Chart

Hexcel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.61 -2.80 -2.71 -2.37 -2.66

Hexcel Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.42 -2.55 -2.52 -2.66 -2.65

Competitive Comparison of Hexcel's Beneish M-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Hexcel's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hexcel's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Hexcel's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hexcel's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Hexcel Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Hexcel for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9377+0.528 * 1.0303+0.404 * 0.8574+0.892 * 1.0965+0.115 * 1.0012
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9587+4.679 * -0.036297-0.327 * 0.9766
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $302 Mil.
Revenue was 472.3 + 457.5 + 419.5 + 454.3 = $1,804 Mil.
Gross Profit was 118.2 + 103.1 + 91.6 + 110.8 = $424 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $790 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,821 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,658 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $125 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $162 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $289 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $715 Mil.
Net Income was 36.5 + -18.2 + 38.7 + 42.5 = $100 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + -71.6 + 0 + 0 = $-72 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -7 + 159 + 68 + 53.5 = $274 Mil.
Total Receivables was $294 Mil.
Revenue was 457.7 + 429.4 + 364.7 + 393 = $1,645 Mil.
Gross Profit was 127.7 + 99.1 + 81.8 + 89.5 = $398 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $808 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,907 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,651 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $125 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $154 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $290 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $769 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(302.2 / 1803.6) / (293.9 / 1644.8)
=0.167554 / 0.178684
=0.9377

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(398.1 / 1644.8) / (423.7 / 1803.6)
=0.242036 / 0.234919
=1.0303

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (789.7 + 1658.2) / 2821.2) / (1 - (807.9 + 1650.7) / 2907.3)
=0.13232 / 0.154336
=0.8574

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1803.6 / 1644.8
=1.0965

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(124.7 / (124.7 + 1650.7)) / (125.1 / (125.1 + 1658.2))
=0.070238 / 0.070151
=1.0012

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(162 / 1803.6) / (154.1 / 1644.8)
=0.08982 / 0.093689
=0.9587

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((714.6 + 288.6) / 2821.2) / ((768.5 + 290.1) / 2907.3)
=0.355593 / 0.364118
=0.9766

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(99.5 - -71.6 - 273.5) / 2821.2
=-0.036297

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Hexcel has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Hexcel (Hexcel) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
281 Tresser Boulevard, Two Stamford Plaza, 16th Floor, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Founded in 1948, Hexcel designs and manufactures a range of high-performance composite fibers, fabrics, resins, and structures for use in commercial aerospace, defense, and other industrial markets. These are engineered to be lighter than metal and perform under rigorous conditions in aircraft frames, wings, engines, and other components and subassemblies. The company's name derives from the six-sided honeycomb structures that lend many of its products their light weight and rigidity. Hexcel's biggest customers are Airbus (38% of 2022 sales) and Boeing (25% of prepandemic sales) and its respective subcontractors.
Executives
Gail E Lehman officer: See Remarks 801 CRESCENT CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 600, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Marilyn Minus director C/O NORTHEASTERN UNIVERSITY, 360 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, MIE DEPT., 334SN, BOSTON MA 2115-5000
Thierry Merlot officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901--326
Philippe Chevrier officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, TWO STAMFORD PLAZA, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901
Gina Fitzsimons officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, TWO STAMFORD PLAZA, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901
Robert George Hennemuth officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD. 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Nick L Stanage officer: President 20807 DECATUR STREET, CASSOPOLIS MI 49031
Amy S Evans officer: See Remarks 2701 SPRUCE STREET, QUINCY IL 62301
Kimberly A. Hendricks officer: SVP, Corp. Controller & CAO 521 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Brett Raymond Schneider officer: President - Global Fibers C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Timothy Swords officer: President, Industrial C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901-3261
Pritchett Colleen officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Jeffrey A Graves director C/O C&D TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1400 UNION MEETING RD, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Patrick Winterlich officer: See Remarks HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901
Guy C Hachey director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098