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Express, (Express,) Beneish M-Score

: -0.60 (As of Today)
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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -0.6 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Express,'s Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

EXPR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -26.51   Med: -2.87   Max: 12.14
Current: -0.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Express, was 12.14. The lowest was -26.51. And the median was -2.87.


Express, Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Express,'s Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Express, Annual Data
Trend Jan14 Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.30 -4.07 -26.51 -3.50 12.14

Express, Quarterly Data
Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.57 12.14 -0.70 -1.15 -0.60

Competitive Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Express,'s Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Express, Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Express,'s Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Express,'s Beneish M-Score falls into.



Express, Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Express, for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 2.0673+0.528 * 1.3428+0.404 * 3.1798+0.892 * 0.9189+0.115 * 1.0273
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0767+4.679 * -0.025923-0.327 * 0.8701
=-0.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Oct23) TTM:Last Year (Oct22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $35 Mil.
Revenue was 454.063 + 435.344 + 383.257 + 514.333 = $1,787 Mil.
Gross Profit was 109.517 + 100.369 + 63.793 + 122.776 = $396 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $599 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,468 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $651 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $58 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $591 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $613 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $688 Mil.
Net Income was -36.811 + -44.056 + -73.427 + 333.16 = $179 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 409.492 = $409 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -70.567 + 19.812 + -80.612 + -61.211 = $-193 Mil.
Total Receivables was $18 Mil.
Revenue was 434.145 + 464.919 + 450.785 + 594.929 = $1,945 Mil.
Gross Profit was 120.617 + 153.701 + 131.5 + 173.548 = $579 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $498 Mil.
Total Assets was $1,221 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $666 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $61 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $598 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $576 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $668 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(34.575 / 1786.997) / (18.201 / 1944.778)
=0.019348 / 0.009359
=2.0673

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(579.366 / 1944.778) / (396.455 / 1786.997)
=0.297909 / 0.221855
=1.3428

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (598.879 + 651.189) / 1467.758) / (1 - (497.523 + 666.498) / 1220.971)
=0.148315 / 0.046643
=3.1798

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1786.997 / 1944.778
=0.9189

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(60.734 / (60.734 + 666.498)) / (57.622 / (57.622 + 651.189))
=0.083514 / 0.081294
=1.0273

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(591.294 / 1786.997) / (597.638 / 1944.778)
=0.330887 / 0.307304
=1.0767

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((688.103 + 613.068) / 1467.758) / ((667.952 + 575.966) / 1220.971)
=0.886502 / 1.018794
=0.8701

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(178.866 - 409.492 - -192.578) / 1467.758
=-0.025923

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Express, has a M-score of -0.60 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Express, Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Express, (Express,) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 Express Drive, Columbus, OH, USA, 43230
Express, Inc. is a United States-based specialty apparel retailer. It offers apparel and accessories for work, casual, jeanswear, and going-out. The company also sells the products through its e-commerce website and mobile app, as well as through franchisees who operate company locations in Latin America according to the franchise agreements. It derives revenue from the sales of apparel, accessories and other products, of which a majority of the revenue from the sale of apparel.
Executives
Stewart Glendinning director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1 EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Yehuda Shmidman director C/O ICONIX BRAND GROUP, INC., 1450 BROADWAY, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Satish Mehta director C/O CHEWY, INC., 7700 WEST SUNRISE BLVD, PLANTATION FL 33322
Jason N Judd officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer 50 N THIRD ST, NEWARK OH 43055
Patricia E Lopez director 333 LUDLOW ST, STAMFORD CT 06902
Antonio Lucio director C/O EXPRESS INC., 1 EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Laurel Krueger officer: Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec ONE EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Periclis Pericleous officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230
Matthew C Moellering officer: EVP, CAO,CFO, Treasurer & Sec. C/O EXPRESS PARENT LLC, ONE LIMITED PARKWAY, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Malissa Akay officer: EVP, Chief Merch. Officer 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230
Sara Tervo officer: EVP, Chief Marketing Officer 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230
Timothy G Baxter director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O EXPRESS, INC., 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230
Contrarius Investment Management Ltd 10 percent owner 2 BOND STREET, ST. HELIER Y9 JE2 3NP
Contrarius Investment Management (bermuda) Ltd 10 percent owner VICTORIA PLACE, 5TH FLOOR, 31 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM 10
James A Hilt officer: EVP, CMO, and ECommerce 1 EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230