GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE:CMG) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Chipotle Mexican Grill (Chipotle Mexican Grill) Beneish M-Score

: -2.63 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

CMG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.55   Med: -2.92   Max: 0.3
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 0.30. The lowest was -3.55. And the median was -2.92.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.05 0.30 -3.08 -2.79 -2.63

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -3.19 -3.41 -3.43 -2.63

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Beneish M-Score Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Chipotle Mexican Grill Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Chipotle Mexican Grill for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9532+0.528 * 0.9116+0.404 * 1.1671+0.892 * 1.1433+0.115 * 0.9835
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9823+4.679 * -0.059599-0.327 * 0.9425
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $168 Mil.
Revenue was 2516.32 + 2471.948 + 2514.801 + 2368.58 = $9,872 Mil.
Gross Profit was 638.304 + 649.843 + 690.855 + 607.09 = $2,586 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,621 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,044 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,749 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $319 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $634 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,031 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,804 Mil.
Net Income was 282.086 + 313.217 + 341.79 + 291.644 = $1,229 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -20.118 + -16.846 + -23.778 + -14.559 = $-75 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 265.459 + 480.472 + 582.51 + 455.036 = $1,783 Mil.
Total Receivables was $155 Mil.
Revenue was 2180.599 + 2220.175 + 2213.339 + 2020.539 = $8,635 Mil.
Gross Profit was 522.542 + 562.546 + 558.085 + 418.946 = $2,062 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,176 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,928 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $5,254 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $287 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $564 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $922 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,495 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(168.495 / 9871.649) / (154.621 / 8634.652)
=0.017069 / 0.017907
=0.9532

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(2062.119 / 8634.652) / (2586.092 / 9871.649)
=0.238819 / 0.261972
=0.9116

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1620.713 + 5748.586) / 8044.362) / (1 - (1175.837 + 5253.549) / 6927.504)
=0.083918 / 0.071904
=1.1671

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=9871.649 / 8634.652
=1.1433

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(286.826 / (286.826 + 5253.549)) / (319.394 / (319.394 + 5748.586))
=0.05177 / 0.052636
=0.9835

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(633.584 / 9871.649) / (564.191 / 8634.652)
=0.064182 / 0.06534
=0.9823

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3803.551 + 1030.625) / 8044.362) / ((3495.162 + 921.88) / 6927.504)
=0.60094 / 0.637609
=0.9425

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1228.737 - -75.301 - 1783.477) / 8044.362
=-0.059599

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Chipotle Mexican Grill has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Chipotle Mexican Grill Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chipotle Mexican Grill (Chipotle Mexican Grill) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1100, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660
Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $8.6 billion in 2022. The Mexican concept is predominately company-owned (it recently inked a development agreement with Alshaya Group in the Middle East), with a footprint of nearly 3,200 stores at the end of 2022, heavily indexed to the United States, although the firm maintains a small presence in Canada, the U.K., France, and Germany. Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
Executives
Brian R Niccol director, officer: Chairman, CEO 1 GLEN BELL WAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Gregg L Engles director 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Scott Boatwright officer: Chief Restaurant Officer 1401 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80202
Robin S Hickenlooper director 12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Laurie Schalow officer: Chief Corp Affairs, Food Sft 610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1300, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Curtis E Garner officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O AEROHIVE NETWORKS, INC., 330 GIBRALTAR DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Christopher W Brandt officer: Chief Marketing Officer 2202 NORTH WESTSHORE BLVD, TAMPA FL 33607
Patricia Filikrushel director DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION, 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Laura Fuentes director 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Albert S Baldocchi director 1601 HIGH STREET, BOULDER CO 80304
Marissa Andrada officer: Chief D&I and People Officer C/O KATE SPADE & COMPANY 2 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Roger E Theodoredis officer: Chief Legal Officer & GC 1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Pershing Square Capital Management, L.p. director 787 11TH AVENUE, 9TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jack Hartung officer: CFO & Chief Development Ofcr 1543 WAZEE STREET, SUITE 200, DENVER CO 80202
Scott Harlan Maw director 1411 E. MISSION AVENUE, SPOKANE WA 99202