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Willamette Valley Vineyards (Willamette Valley Vineyards) Beneish M-Score : -2.87 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Willamette Valley Vineyards Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.87 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WVVI' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.92   Med: -2.6   Max: -2.03
Current: -2.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Willamette Valley Vineyards was -2.03. The lowest was -2.92. And the median was -2.60.


Willamette Valley Vineyards Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Willamette Valley Vineyards Beneish M-Score Chart

Willamette Valley Vineyards Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.92 -2.31 -2.52 -2.03 -2.87

Willamette Valley Vineyards Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.03 -1.91 -2.25 -2.70 -2.87

Competitive Comparison of Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Willamette Valley Vineyards's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Willamette Valley Vineyards Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Willamette Valley Vineyards for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.5649+0.528 * 0.9619+0.404 * 0.9296+0.892 * 1.1533+0.115 * 0.7102
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0643+4.679 * 0.006386-0.327 * 1.2067
=-2.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3.12 Mil.
Revenue was 10.753 + 9.348 + 10.726 + 8.309 = $39.14 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6.144 + 5.685 + 6.251 + 4.478 = $22.56 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $32.19 Mil.
Total Assets was $105.71 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $73.50 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $3.43 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $23.76 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $13.80 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $18.37 Mil.
Net Income was -0.235 + -0.327 + 0.108 + -0.745 = $-1.20 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.032 + 0.004 + 0.005 + 0.074 = $0.12 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -1.921 + 0.079 + 1.133 + -1.28 = $-1.99 Mil.
Total Receivables was $4.78 Mil.
Revenue was 11.388 + 7.603 + 8.701 + 6.242 = $33.93 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6.373 + 3.894 + 4.827 + 3.72 = $18.81 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $27.78 Mil.
Total Assets was $98.68 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $70.89 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $2.32 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $19.36 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9.93 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $14.95 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3.117 / 39.136) / (4.784 / 33.934)
=0.079645 / 0.14098
=0.5649

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18.814 / 33.934) / (22.558 / 39.136)
=0.554429 / 0.5764
=0.9619

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (32.193 + 73.501) / 105.708) / (1 - (27.778 + 70.892) / 98.684)
=0.000132 / 0.000142
=0.9296

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=39.136 / 33.934
=1.1533

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2.316 / (2.316 + 70.892)) / (3.427 / (3.427 + 73.501))
=0.031636 / 0.044548
=0.7102

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(23.764 / 39.136) / (19.36 / 33.934)
=0.607216 / 0.570519
=1.0643

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((18.365 + 13.797) / 105.708) / ((14.953 + 9.928) / 98.684)
=0.304253 / 0.252128
=1.2067

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-1.199 - 0.115 - -1.989) / 105.708
=0.006386

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Willamette Valley Vineyards has a M-score of -2.87 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Willamette Valley Vineyards Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Willamette Valley Vineyards (Willamette Valley Vineyards) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8800 Enchanted Way, South East, Turner, OR, USA, 97392
Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc produces and sells premium, super-premium, and ultra-premium wines. The grapes are harvested, fermented, and made into wine at the company's Turner winery, and the wines are sold principally under its Willamette Valley Vineyards label and also under the Griffin Creek, Tualatin Estate, Pambrun, Maison Bleue, Natoma, Metis, and Elton labels. It operates under two operating segments, direct sales and distributor sales. Direct sales include retail sales in its tasting room and remote sites, wine club sales, online sales, on-site events, kitchen and catering sales, and other sales made directly to the consumer without the use of an intermediary. Distributor sales include all sales through a third party where prices are given at a wholesale rate.
Executives
James W Bernau director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 2545 CLOVERDALE RD SE, TURNER OR 97392
Sarah Alice Rose director 6821 50TH AVE NE, SEATTLE WA 98115
Day Cara Pepper director 1088 SW PRESTWICK CT., WILSONVILLE OR 97070
Stanley G Turel director 604 SE 121ST AVE, C/O ARBOR PARK OFFICE, VANCOUVER WA 98683
John Alphonsus Ferry officer: CFO 15830 FOREST RIDGE LANE NE, SILVERTON OR 97381
Leslie J Copland director 2350 NW SAVIER STREET, UNIT 406, PORTLAND OR 97210
Goward Richard F. Jr. officer: CFO 2623 ABBEY LN. SE, SALEM OR 97317
Heather Westing director 25030 SW PARKWAY AVE, SUITE 300, WILSONVILLE OR 97070
James L Ellis director 7850 SE KING ROAD, MILWAUKIE OR 97222
Craig Alan Smith director 367 SANRODEE DR. SE, SALEM OR 97317
Jonathan J Ricci director C/O JONES SODA CO., 234 9TH AVE. N., SEATTLE WA 98109
O Brien Betty M director 22500 INGRAM LANE NW, SALEM OR 97304
Christopher L Sarles director 2185 SW WINCHESTER, PORTLAND OR 97225-4457
Chris Riccardi 10 percent owner 15 STEDMAN WAY, LOUDONVILLE NY 12211
Delna L. Jones director 39692 CAMINO TEMPLADO, INDIO CA 92203