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Starbucks (Starbucks) Beneish M-Score : -3.02 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Starbucks Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -3.02 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Starbucks's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SBUX' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.16   Med: -2.96   Max: -1.32
Current: -3.02

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Starbucks was -1.32. The lowest was -5.16. And the median was -2.96.


Starbucks Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Starbucks's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Starbucks Beneish M-Score Chart

Starbucks Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.25 -2.11 -3.15 -2.63 -2.87

Starbucks Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.56 -2.76 -2.87 -2.87 -3.02

Competitive Comparison of Starbucks's Beneish M-Score

For the Restaurants subindustry, Starbucks's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Starbucks's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Starbucks's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Starbucks's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Starbucks Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Starbucks for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8701+0.528 * 0.9272+0.404 * 0.9492+0.892 * 1.1146+0.115 * 1.0824
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0783+4.679 * -0.098613-0.327 * 1.0019
=-3.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,165 Mil.
Revenue was 9425.3 + 9373.6 + 9168.3 + 8719.8 = $36,687 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2593.2 + 2719.2 + 2606.5 + 2282.1 = $10,201 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,570 Mil.
Total Assets was $29,180 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $16,250 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,492 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,508 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,396 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $21,704 Mil.
Net Income was 1024.4 + 1219.3 + 1141.7 + 908.3 = $4,294 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 55.9 + 119.4 + 62.6 + 133.9 = $372 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 2383.9 + 1945 + 1702.9 + 767.6 = $6,799 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,201 Mil.
Revenue was 8713.9 + 8414.2 + 8150.1 + 7635.6 = $32,914 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2238.4 + 2158.5 + 2234 + 1855.1 = $8,486 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,935 Mil.
Total Assets was $28,256 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,833 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,486 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,087 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $9,246 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $20,812 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1165.1 / 36687) / (1201.3 / 32913.8)
=0.031758 / 0.036498
=0.8701

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(8486 / 32913.8) / (10201 / 36687)
=0.257825 / 0.278055
=0.9272

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (6569.5 + 16250.3) / 29179.7) / (1 - (6934.9 + 14833.3) / 28256.1)
=0.217956 / 0.229611
=0.9492

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=36687 / 32913.8
=1.1146

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1485.5 / (1485.5 + 14833.3)) / (1492.2 / (1492.2 + 16250.3))
=0.09103 / 0.084103
=1.0824

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2508.4 / 36687) / (2087.1 / 32913.8)
=0.068373 / 0.063411
=1.0783

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((21703.8 + 9395.6) / 29179.7) / ((20812.1 + 9246.2) / 28256.1)
=1.065789 / 1.063781
=1.0019

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(4293.7 - 371.8 - 6799.4) / 29179.7
=-0.098613

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Starbucks has a M-score of -3.02 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Starbucks Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Starbucks (Starbucks) Business Description

Address
2401 Utah Avenue South, Seattle, WA, USA, 98134
Starbucks is one of the most widely recognized restaurant brands in the world, operating more than 38,000 stores across more than 80 countries as of the end of fiscal 2023. The firm operates in three segments: North America, international markets, and channel development (grocery and ready-to-drink beverage). The coffee chain generates revenue from company-operated stores, royalties, sales of equipment and products to license partners, ready-to-drink beverages, packaged coffee sales, and single-serve products.
Executives
Sara Kelly officer: evp, chief partner officer 2401 UTAH AVENUE SOUTH, SEATTLE WA 98134
Rachel Ruggeri officer: evp, cfo 2401 UTAH AVENUE SOUTH, #800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Michael Aaron Conway officer: group president International 18 LOVETON CIRCLE, SPARKS MD 21152
Wei Zhang director RALPH LAUREN CORPORATION, 650 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Bradley E Lerman officer: evp, general counsel MEDTRONIC, INC., 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY MSLC300, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432
Beth Ford director C/O CORPORATE SECRETARY SCHOLASTIC CORP, 557 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10012
Zabrina Jenkins officer: Interim evp, general counsel C/O RETAIL OPPORTUNITY INVESTMENT CORP., 11250 EL CAMINO REAL. SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Clara Shih director 2401 UTAH AVE S, # 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Laxman Narasimhan officer: ceo-elect PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Mellody L Hobson director C/O TELLABS, 1415 W DIEHL RD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Allison Richard E Jr director 30 FRANK LLOYD WRIGHT DR, ANN ARBOR MI 48105
Howard D Schultz director, officer: chairman, president and ceo 2401 UTAH AVE SOUTH, SEATTLE WA 98134
Angela Lis officer: evp, chief partner officer 2401 UTAH AVENUE SOUTH, EX6, SEATTLE WA 98134
Kevin R Johnson director 2401 UTAH AVE. S, SUITE 800, SEATTLE WA 98134
Gina Woods officer: evp, Public Affairs 2401 UTAH AVENUE SOUTH, #800, SEATTLE WA 98134

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