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Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.
The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.57 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for Maiden Holdings's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Maiden Holdings was 23.84. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.54.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Maiden Holdings for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.5684 | + | 0.528 * 1 | + | 0.404 * 1.3677 | + | 0.892 * 1.2577 | + | 0.115 * -0.5957 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 0.7912 | + | 4.679 * 0.013897 | - | 0.327 * 0.9794 | |||||||
= | -2.57 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $720.77 Mil. Revenue was 20.308 + 26.349 + 20.159 + 16.677 = $83.49 Mil. Gross Profit was 20.308 + 26.349 + 20.159 + 16.677 = $83.49 Mil. Total Current Assets was $964.60 Mil. Total Assets was $1,518.93 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.00 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $-1.02 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $30.80 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $0.00 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $254.60 Mil. Net Income was -20.781 + -3.527 + -2.933 + -11.328 = $-38.57 Mil. Non Operating Income was 0 + 0.003 + 0 + 0.097 = $0.10 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 6.219 + -2.335 + -43.315 + -20.347 = $-59.78 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $1,008.24 Mil. Revenue was -1.157 + 26.27 + 27.276 + 13.998 = $66.39 Mil. Gross Profit was -1.157 + 26.27 + 27.276 + 13.998 = $66.39 Mil. Total Current Assets was $1,353.75 Mil. Total Assets was $1,846.87 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $0.30 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $-0.11 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $30.95 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $60.52 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $255.57 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (720.766 / 83.493) | / | (1008.235 / 66.387) | |
= | 8.632652 | / | 15.187235 | |
= | 0.5684 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (66.387 / 66.387) | / | (83.493 / 83.493) | |
= | 1 | / | 1 | |
= | 1 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (964.602 + 0) / 1518.934) | / | (1 - (1353.748 + 0.3) / 1846.866) | |
= | 0.364948 | / | 0.26684 | |
= | 1.3677 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 83.493 | / | 66.387 | |
= | 1.2577 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (-0.112 / (-0.112 + 0.3)) | / | (-1.02 / (-1.02 + 0)) | |
= | -0.595745 | / | 1 | |
= | -0.5957 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (30.796 / 83.493) | / | (30.947 / 66.387) | |
= | 0.368845 | / | 0.466161 | |
= | 0.7912 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((254.597 + 0) / 1518.934) | / | ((255.572 + 60.518) / 1846.866) | |
= | 0.167616 | / | 0.171149 | |
= | 0.9794 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (-38.569 - 0.1 | - | -59.778) | / | 1518.934 | |
= | 0.013897 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Maiden Holdings has a M-score of -2.57 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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Yehuda Neuberger | director | 6201 15TH AVENUE, BROOKLYN NY 11219 |
Keith A Thomas | director | 605 WEST 137TH STREET, APT. 35, NEW YORK NY 10031 |
Maiden Reinsurance Ltd | 10 percent owner | 159 BANK STREET, 4TH FLOOR, BURLINGTON VT 05401 |
Maiden Holdings North America, Ltd. | 10 percent owner | 6000 MIDLANTIC DRIVE, SUITE 200S, MOUNT LAUREL NJ 08054 |
Maiden Holdings, Ltd. | 10 percent owner | 48 PAR-LA-VILLE ROAD, SUITE 1141, HAMILTON D0 -HM 11 |
Steven Harold Nigro | director | 445 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016 |
Simcha G Lyons | director | 225 WEST 83RD STREET, APT 3Q, NEW YORK NY 10024 |
Claude Leblanc | director | ONE BERMUDIANA ROAD, HAMILTON D0 HM 11 |
Paul S Giordano | director | C/O XL CAPITAL LTD, XL HOUSE, ONE BERMUDIANA RD, HAMILTON BERMUDA D0 HMII |
Denis M Butkovic | officer: SVP, General Counsel & Secty | 13 ELLIS COURT, MORGANVILLE X1 07751 |
Raymond Michael Neff | director | PO BOX 460, SARASOTA FL 34230 |
Holly Lynn Blanchard | director | 1952 COUNTY ROAD C, CERESCO NE 68017 |
William Jarman | officer: SVP & Chief Actuary | 224 COUNTRY CLUB DRIVE, MOORESTOWN X1 08057 |
Michael C Haines | officer: SVP - Finance | 701 ROUTE 301, P.O. BOX 320, COLD SPRING X1 10516 |
Karen Schmitt | officer: PRESIDENT, MAIDEN RE | 6000 MIDLANTIC DRIVE, MT LAUREL NJ 08054 |
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