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AMERISAFE (FRA:A3I) Beneish M-Score : -2.61 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is AMERISAFE Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.61 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AMERISAFE's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:A3I' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -33.14   Med: -2.51   Max: -1.99
Current: -2.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AMERISAFE was -1.99. The lowest was -33.14. And the median was -2.51.


AMERISAFE Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AMERISAFE for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.043+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 0.9138+0.892 * 1.0014+0.115 * 0.9766
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0426+4.679 * 0.030469-0.327 * 1.8424
=-2.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €257.4 Mil.
Revenue was 74.066 + 73.472 + 68.079 + 69.848 = €285.5 Mil.
Gross Profit was 74.066 + 73.472 + 68.079 + 69.848 = €285.5 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €650.7 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,143.7 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6.2 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €26.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €4.1 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0.0 Mil.
Net Income was 15.571 + 17.589 + 9.333 + 14.424 = €56.9 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = €0.0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 6.906 + 3.638 + 4.809 + 6.717 = €22.1 Mil.
Total Receivables was €246.4 Mil.
Revenue was 73.279 + 75.309 + 72.115 + 64.375 = €285.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was 73.279 + 75.309 + 72.115 + 64.375 = €285.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €636.4 Mil.
Total Assets was €1,203.2 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €6.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1.3 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €25.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €0.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(257.361 / 285.465) / (246.418 / 285.078)
=0.90155 / 0.864388
=1.043

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(285.078 / 285.078) / (285.465 / 285.465)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (650.741 + 6.226) / 1143.692) / (1 - (636.426 + 6.451) / 1203.229)
=0.425573 / 0.465707
=0.9138

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=285.465 / 285.078
=1.0014

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1.309 / (1.309 + 6.451)) / (1.3 / (1.3 + 6.226))
=0.168686 / 0.172735
=0.9766

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(26.648 / 285.465) / (25.524 / 285.078)
=0.093349 / 0.089533
=1.0426

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((0 + 4.145) / 1143.692) / ((0 + 2.367) / 1203.229)
=0.003624 / 0.001967
=1.8424

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(56.917 - 0 - 22.07) / 1143.692
=0.030469

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AMERISAFE has a M-score of -2.62 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AMERISAFE Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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AMERISAFE (FRA:A3I) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2301 Highway 190 West, DeRidder, LA, USA, 70634
AMERISAFE Inc is a specialty provider of workers' compensation insurance to employers engaged in hazardous industries, mainly construction, trucking, manufacturing, oil and gas, and agriculture. The company generates a majority of its revenue in the form of premiums.