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AGC (ASGLY) Beneish M-Score : -2.58 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is AGC Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.58 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AGC's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASGLY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.89   Med: -2.76   Max: -2.58
Current: -2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AGC was -2.58. The lowest was -2.89. And the median was -2.76.


AGC Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AGC's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AGC Beneish M-Score Chart

AGC Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.77 -2.82 -2.79 -2.74 -2.58

AGC Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.74 -2.70 -2.68 -2.70 -2.58

Competitive Comparison of AGC's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, AGC's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AGC's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, AGC's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AGC's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AGC Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AGC for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0718+0.528 * 1.0955+0.404 * 1.0383+0.892 * 0.9275+0.115 * 1.1273
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0316+4.679 * -0.050148-0.327 * 0.9889
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $2,774 Mil.
Revenue was 3718.79 + 3371.768 + 3509.59 + 3659.975 = $14,260 Mil.
Gross Profit was 875.515 + 805.567 + 827.395 + 892.078 = $3,401 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,236 Mil.
Total Assets was $20,371 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,126 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,238 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,504 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,982 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,095 Mil.
Net Income was 57.355 + 114.728 + 130.916 + 165.13 = $468 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 460.92 + 384.213 + 419.389 + 225.146 = $1,490 Mil.
Total Receivables was $2,790 Mil.
Revenue was 3980.468 + 3632.708 + 3774.752 + 3986.147 = $15,374 Mil.
Gross Profit was 921.485 + 873.836 + 1070.64 + 1150.523 = $4,016 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $7,879 Mil.
Total Assets was $20,858 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $10,012 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,402 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $2,617 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,966 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $3,396 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2773.829 / 14260.123) / (2790.072 / 15374.075)
=0.194516 / 0.181479
=1.0718

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4016.484 / 15374.075) / (3400.555 / 14260.123)
=0.26125 / 0.238466
=1.0955

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (7236.194 + 10125.954) / 20370.61) / (1 - (7879.113 + 10012.015) / 20857.823)
=0.147686 / 0.142234
=1.0383

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=14260.123 / 15374.075
=0.9275

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1401.736 / (1401.736 + 10012.015)) / (1238.001 / (1238.001 + 10125.954))
=0.122811 / 0.108941
=1.1273

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2503.523 / 14260.123) / (2616.519 / 15374.075)
=0.175561 / 0.17019
=1.0316

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3094.571 + 4981.876) / 20370.61) / ((3396.492 + 4966.09) / 20857.823)
=0.396475 / 0.400933
=0.9889

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(468.129 - 0 - 1489.668) / 20370.61
=-0.050148

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AGC has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AGC (ASGLY) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1-5-1, Marunouchi, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-8405
AGC Inc produces and sells glass and glass-related products in two segments based on product type: Automotive glass and Float glass. The Automotive glass segment, which generates the majority of revenue, is the largest automotive glass supplier in India. The Float glass segment manufactures and sells glass products to the architectural, interior design, and construction industries. The segment also produces solar glass, which is used for solar power generation. Nearly all of the company's revenue comes from India.

AGC (ASGLY) Headlines

From GuruFocus

AGC: The World's Largest Glass Manufacturer

By Holmes Osborne, CFA Holmes Osborne, CFA 04-18-2019