Alcoa (ARNC.PR.PFD) Beneish M-Score : -2.59 (As of May. 01, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 1972. Start your Free Trial

What is Alcoa Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alcoa's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ARNC.PR.PFD' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.25 Med: -2.69 Max: -2.01
Current: -2.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alcoa was -2.01. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.69.

Alcoa Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alcoa Beneish M-Score Chart

Alcoa Annual Data

Trend

Dec06

Dec07

Dec08

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Beneish M-Score

Get a 7-Day Free Trial

-2.61

-2.60

-2.85

-2.52

-2.87

Alcoa Quarterly Data
	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13	Jun13	Sep13	Dec13	Mar14	Jun14	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15	Sep15	Dec15	Mar16	Jun16	Sep16
Beneish M-Score	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-2.99	-2.87	-2.59	-2.64	-2.59

Competitive Comparison of Alcoa's Beneish M-Score

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Alcoa's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Beneish M-Score falls into.

Alcoa Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alcoa for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

-4.84

0.92 * DSRI

0.528 * GMI

0.404 * AQI

0.892 * SGI

0.115 * DEPI

-4.84

0.92 * 1.1115

0.528 * 1.1507

0.404 * 0.956

0.892 * 0.8747

0.115 * 1.05

0.172 * SGAI

4.679 * TATA

0.327 * LVGI

0.172 * 1.2532

4.679 * -0.052633

0.327 * 1.0294

-2.72

This Year (Sep16) TTM:

Last Year (Sep15) TTM:

Total Receivables was $2,133.00 Mil.
Revenue was 5213 + 5295 + 4947 + 5245 = $20,700.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was 996 + 1079 + 906 + 841 = $3,822.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9,368.00 Mil.
Total Assets was $37,448.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $15,122.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,259.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,083.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,500.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,501.00 Mil.
Net Income was 166 + 135 + 16 + -701 = $-384.00 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 94 + 32 + -38 + 426 = $514.00 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 306 + 332 + -430 + 865 = $1,073.00 Mil.

Total Receivables was $2,194.00 Mil.
Revenue was 5573 + 5897 + 5819 + 6377 = $23,666.00 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1014 + 1234 + 1376 + 1404 = $5,028.00 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $8,592.00 Mil.
Total Assets was $36,587.00 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $14,752.00 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $1,295.00 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $988.00 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,147.00 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $9,091.00 Mil.

1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI	=	(Receivables_t / Revenue_t)	/	(Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
	=	(2133 / 20700)	/	(2194 / 23666)
	=	0.103043	/	0.092707
	=	1.1115

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI	=	GrossMargin_t-1	/	GrossMargin_t
	=	(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)	/	(GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
	=	(5028 / 23666)	/	(3822 / 20700)
	=	0.212457	/	0.184638
	=	1.1507

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI	=	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	(1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	(1 - (9368 + 15122) / 37448)	/	(1 - (8592 + 14752) / 36587)
	=	0.346026	/	0.361959
	=	0.956

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI	=	Sales_t	/	Sales_t-1
	=	Revenue_t	/	Revenue_t-1
	=	20700	/	23666
	=	0.8747

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI	=	(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1))	/	(Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
	=	(1295 / (1295 + 14752))	/	(1259 / (1259 + 15122))
	=	0.0807	/	0.076857
	=	1.05

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI	=	(SGA_t / Sales_t)	/	(SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
	=	(1083 / 20700)	/	(988 / 23666)
	=	0.052319	/	0.041748
	=	1.2532

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI	=	((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t)	/	((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
	=	((9501 + 5500) / 37448)	/	((9091 + 5147) / 36587)
	=	0.400582	/	0.389155
	=	1.0294

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA	=	(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t	-	CashFlowsfromOperations_t)	/	TotalAssets_t
	=	(-384 - 514	-	1073)	/	37448
	=	-0.052633

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alcoa has a M-score of -2.72 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Alcoa Beneish M-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alcoa's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Alcoa (ARNC.PR.PFD) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Alcoa Inc (AMEX:ARNC.PR.PFD) » Definitions » Beneish M-Score

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

https://www.arconic.com

Arconic Inc, formerly known as Alcoa Inc was first incorporated as the Pittsburgh Reduction Company on October 1, 1888. The Company is engaged in manufacturing and engineering lightweight metals. Its products include aluminum, titanium, and nickel, used in aerospace, automotive, commercial transportation, packaging, building and construction, oil and gas, defense, consumer electronics, and industrial applications. The Company is also engaged in the production and management of aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina combined, through its active participation in all aspects of the industry: technology, mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling. It has investments and operating activities in, among others, Australia, Brazil, China, Guinea, Iceland, Russia, and Saudi Arabia. The Company operates in segments including Global Rolled Products, Engineered Products and Solutions, and Transportation and Construction Solutions. The Company's Global Rolled Products segment represents its midstream operations. The Engineered Products and Solutions segment represents a portion of the Company's downstream operations. Its downstream portfolio includes two segments Engineered Products and Solutions and Transportation and Construction Solutions. The Engineered Products and Solutions consist of Alcoa Titanium & Engineered Products; Alcoa Fastening Systems & Rings; Alcoa Forgings and Extrusions; and Alcoa Power and Propulsion. The Company's Transportation and Construction Solutions segment represents a portion of its downstream operations. The raw materials used includes bauxite, alloying materials, caustic soda, alumina, electricity, aluminum fluoride, fuel oil, calcined petroleum coke, lime (CaO), cathode blocks, natural gas, electricity, liquid pitch, natural gas, titanium alloys, titanium sponge and resin. The Company's trademark products include Howmet metal castings, Huck fasteners, Kawneer building panels and Dura-Bright wheels with easy-clean surface treatments.

Executives

Joseph S Cantie	director	C/O DELPHI AUTOMOTIVE, 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Amy E Alving	director	ARCONIC INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Tolga I Oal	director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	201 ISABELLA STREET, PITTSTBURGH PA 15212
John C Plant	director, officer: Chairman and Co-CEO	C/O MASCO CORPORATION, 17450 COLLEGE PARKWAY, LIVONIA MI 48152
Jody Miller	director	225 SOUTH SIXTH STREET, 9TH FLOOR, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
James F Albaugh	director	C/O THE BOEING COMPANY, 100 NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, CHICAGO IL 60606
Ulrich Schmidt	director	PRECISION CASTPARTS CORP., 4650 SW MACADAM AVENUE, SUITE 400, PORTLAND OR 97239
Nicole Weyerhaeuser Piasecki	director	2000 WELLS FARGO PLACE, 30 EAST 7TH STREET, SAINT PAUL MN 55101-4930
Robert F Leduc	director	UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 10 FARM SPRINGS ROAD, FARMINGTON CT 06032
David J Miller	director	C/O ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT CORPORATION, 40 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Neil Edward Marchuk	officer: EVP, HR	12025 TECH CENTER DRIVE, LIVONIA MI 48150
Katherine H Ramundo	officer: CLO and Corporate Secretary	C/O APTIV, 5725 INNOVATION DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
W Paul Myron	officer: Vice President and Controller	ALCOA INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608
Ken Giacobbe	officer: CFO	ALCOA INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608
Timothy Donald Myers	officer: Executive Vice President	ALCOA INC., 390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022-4608