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AAON (AAON) Beneish M-Score : -2.23 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is AAON Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.23 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for AAON's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AAON' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.4   Med: -2.6   Max: 8.93
Current: -2.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of AAON was 8.93. The lowest was -3.40. And the median was -2.60.


AAON Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for AAON's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AAON Beneish M-Score Chart

AAON Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.04 -3.40 8.93 -1.86 -2.23

AAON Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.86 -1.91 -2.14 -2.15 -2.23

Competitive Comparison of AAON's Beneish M-Score

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, AAON's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AAON's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, AAON's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AAON's Beneish M-Score falls into.



AAON Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of AAON for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9797+0.528 * 0.7828+0.404 * 0.8523+0.892 * 1.3147+0.115 * 0.9342
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1677+4.679 * 0.019345-0.327 * 0.6809
=-2.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $183 Mil.
Revenue was 306.638 + 311.97 + 283.957 + 265.953 = $1,169 Mil.
Gross Profit was 111.739 + 116.109 + 94.018 + 77.154 = $399 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $409 Mil.
Total Assets was $941 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $382 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $47 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $158 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $127 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $49 Mil.
Net Income was 47.049 + 48.078 + 45.682 + 36.814 = $178 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0.133 + 0.118 + 0.157 + 0.108 = $1 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 51.75 + 47.205 + 55.117 + 4.823 = $159 Mil.
Total Receivables was $142 Mil.
Revenue was 254.598 + 242.605 + 208.814 + 182.771 = $889 Mil.
Gross Profit was 78.541 + 65.591 + 47.376 + 46.064 = $238 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $349 Mil.
Total Assets was $814 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $312 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $35 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $103 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $146 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $77 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(183.302 / 1168.518) / (142.309 / 888.788)
=0.156867 / 0.160116
=0.9797

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(237.572 / 888.788) / (399.02 / 1168.518)
=0.267299 / 0.341475
=0.7828

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (408.954 + 381.721) / 941.436) / (1 - (349.116 + 311.868) / 813.903)
=0.160139 / 0.187884
=0.8523

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=1168.518 / 888.788
=1.3147

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(35.43 / (35.43 + 311.868)) / (46.792 / (46.792 + 381.721))
=0.102016 / 0.109196
=0.9342

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(157.778 / 1168.518) / (102.773 / 888.788)
=0.135024 / 0.115633
=1.1677

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((48.529 + 126.749) / 941.436) / ((76.997 + 145.567) / 813.903)
=0.186182 / 0.273453
=0.6809

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(177.623 - 0.516 - 158.895) / 941.436
=0.019345

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

AAON has a M-score of -2.23 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


AAON (AAON) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2425 South Yukon Avenue, Tulsa, OK, USA, 74107
AAON Inc is a manufacturer of air-conditioning and heating equipment. The products include rooftop units, chillers, packaged outdoor mechanical rooms, air-handling units, makeup air units, energy-recovery units, condensing units, geothermal heat pumps, and self-contained units and coils. AAON's products serve the commercial and industrial new construction and replacement markets, primarily in North America.
Executives
Stephen E Wakefield officer: VP, Engineering 2425 SOUTH YUKON, TULSA OK 74107
Norman H Asbjornson director, 10 percent owner, officer: President AAON INC, 2425 SOUTH YUKON, TULSA OK 74107
Rebecca Thompson officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2425 S YUKON AVE, TULSA OK 74107
David Raymond Stewart director 4221 E. 96TH PLACE, TULSA OK 74137
Gordon Douglas Wichman officer: Vice President 4300 WILLOW BEND DR., LONGVIEW TX 75602
Robert Teis officer: VP, Sales and Marketing 6813 FOXBRIAR DR., TULSA OK 74132
Casey Kidwell officer: VP, Administration 9906 NORTH 108TH EAST PLACE, OWASSO OK 74055
Gary D Fields director 2425 SOUTH YUKON, TULSA OK 74107
Rony D Gadiwalla officer: VP, Information Technology 2425 SOUTH YUKON, TULSA OK 74107
Larry Gene Stewart officer: Vice President 2425 SOUTH YUKON AVE, TULSA OK 74107
Xerxes P Gazder officer: Chief Information Officer 109 N FORESTVIEW LANE, AURORA IL 60502
Stephen O Leclair director 3100 CUMBERLAND BLVD, SUITE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30339
Lackey Paul K Jr director 2200 SOUTH UTICA PL., 6B-GENOA, TULSA OK 74114
Bruce Ware director 3605 PATIENCE BLVD, DALLAS TX 75236
Christopher Douglas Eason officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2425 S YUKON AVE, TULSA OK 74107