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CF Industries Holdings (CF Industries Holdings) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: $197.58 (As of Today)
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Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, CF Industries Holdings's PEG is 1. CF Industries Holdings's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. CF Industries Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was $7.90. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $197.58.

As of today (2024-04-23), CF Industries Holdings's share price is $78.54. CF Industries Holdings's Peter Lynch fair value is $197.58. Therefore, CF Industries Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.40.


The historical rank and industry rank for CF Industries Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

CF' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 0.54   Max: 1.45
Current: 0.4


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of CF Industries Holdings was 1.45. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 0.54.


CF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
78.12% of 96 companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 0.735 vs CF: 0.40

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


CF Industries Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for CF Industries Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CF Industries Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 26.75 146.35 434.35 197.58

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 434.35 401.85 314.13 273.58 197.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, CF Industries Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CF Industries Holdings Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, CF Industries Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CF Industries Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



CF Industries Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

CF Industries Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *7.903
=197.58

CF Industries Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $7.90.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


CF Industries Holdings  (NYSE:CF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

CF Industries Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=78.54/197.58
=0.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CF Industries Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CF Industries Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CF Industries Holdings (CF Industries Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4 Parkway North, Suite 400, Deerfield, IL, USA, 60015
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally. The company is also investing in carbon-free blue and green ammonia, which can be used an alternative fuel to hydrogen or as a means to transport hydrogen.
Executives
Bert A Frost officer: VP, Sales and Mkt Development C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Susan A Ellerbusch director C/O SUMMIT MATERIALS, INC., 1550 WYNKOOP STREET, 3RD FLOOR, DENVER CO 80202
Douglas C Barnard officer: VP, General Counsel, Secretary C/O CF INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE SALEM LAKE DRIVE, LONG GROVE IL 60047
Michael Patrick Mcgrane officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Anne P Noonan director 25435 HARVARD RD, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Christopher D Bohn officer: VP, Supply Chain C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
W Anthony Will officer: VP, Corporate Development C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Richard A Hoker officer: VP and Corporate Controller C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Ashraf K Malik officer: Sr. VP, Manufacturing & D'istn C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Stephen A Furbacher director 1000 LOUISIANA ST, STE 5800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Susan L Menzel officer: Sr. VP, Human Resources C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., FOUR PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Robert C Arzbaecher director ACTUANT CORP, 13000 WEST SILVER SPRING DRIVE, BUTLER WI 53007
Yris Jesus Madrazo director C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Deborah L Dehaas director 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
David P Hopkins officer: Managing Dir. CF Fert. UK C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015