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China Mengniu Dairy Co (China Mengniu Dairy Co) Peter Lynch Fair Value : $29.07 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is China Mengniu Dairy Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, China Mengniu Dairy Co's PEG is 1. China Mengniu Dairy Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 14.66. China Mengniu Dairy Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2023 was $1.98. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $29.07.

As of today (2024-04-28), China Mengniu Dairy Co's share price is $20.43. China Mengniu Dairy Co's Peter Lynch fair value is $29.07. Therefore, China Mengniu Dairy Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.70.


The historical rank and industry rank for China Mengniu Dairy Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of China Mengniu Dairy Co was 6.16. The lowest was 1.04. And the median was 1.40.


CIADY's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.055
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


China Mengniu Dairy Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Mengniu Dairy Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Mengniu Dairy Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

China Mengniu Dairy Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.70 34.52 54.98 28.61 -

China Mengniu Dairy Co Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 54.98 - 28.61 - -

Competitive Comparison of China Mengniu Dairy Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, China Mengniu Dairy Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Mengniu Dairy Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Mengniu Dairy Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Mengniu Dairy Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



China Mengniu Dairy Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

China Mengniu Dairy Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 14.66 *1.983
=29.07

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. China Mengniu Dairy Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2023 was $1.98.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


China Mengniu Dairy Co  (OTCPK:CIADY) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 14.66 instead of 15 in this case.

China Mengniu Dairy Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=20.43/29.07
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Mengniu Dairy Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

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China Mengniu Dairy Co (China Mengniu Dairy Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
262 Gloucester Road, Causeway Bay, 32nd Floor, COFCO Tower, Hong Kong, HKG
China Mengniu Dairy, or Mengniu, is China's second-largest dairy producer by market share. The company produces a wide range of dairy products including liquid milk, ice cream, milk formula and cheese. Liquid milk, composed of milk, milk beverages and yogurt, contributed close to 80% of Mengniu's revenue in 2022. Flagship lineups include Deluxe, Mengniu Pure Milk, Just Yogurt and Yoyi C. Mengniu also owns two infant formula brands including Yashili and Bellamy as well as Milkground, a cheese brand.

China Mengniu Dairy Co (China Mengniu Dairy Co) Headlines

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