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Rockwell Automation (Rockwell Automation) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $124.20 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Rockwell Automation Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Rockwell Automation's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $124.20. The stock price of Rockwell Automation is $280.12. Therefore, Rockwell Automation's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Rockwell Automation's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ROK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.19   Med: 2.09   Max: 3.41
Current: 2.26

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Rockwell Automation was 3.41. The lowest was 1.19. And the median was 2.09.

ROK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.07% of 1895 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs ROK: 2.26

Rockwell Automation Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rockwell Automation's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rockwell Automation Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Rockwell Automation Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 83.28 89.11 104.30 104.43 125.70

Rockwell Automation Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 106.51 109.36 112.59 125.70 124.20

Competitive Comparison of Rockwell Automation's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Rockwell Automation's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rockwell Automation's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Rockwell Automation's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rockwell Automation's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Rockwell Automation Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Rockwell Automation's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $997.09.

Rockwell Automation's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.455297782575*997.088+3607.7*0.8)/115.200
=124.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Rockwell Automation  (NYSE:ROK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Rockwell Automation's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=280.12/124.20225655757
=2.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Rockwell Automation Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rockwell Automation's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Rockwell Automation (Rockwell Automation) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1201 South Second Street, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53204
Rockwell Automation is a pure-play automation competitor that is the successor entity to Rockwell International, which spun off its former Rockwell Collins avionics segment in 2001. As of fiscal 2021, the firm operates through three segments--intelligent devices, software and control, and lifecycle services. Intelligent devices contains its drives, sensors, and industrial components, software and control contains its information and network and security software, while lifecycle services contains its consulting and maintenance services as well as its Sensia JV with SLB.
Executives
Matthew W. Fordenwalt officer: SVP Lifecycle Services 1201 S. 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Christopher Nardecchia officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer 1201 S. 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Rebecca W House officer: SVP, CLO and Secretary 1201 SOUTH SECOND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Frank C Kulaszewicz officer: SVP C/O ROCKWELL AUTOMATION, INC., 1201 SOUTH SECOND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Blake D. Moret director, officer: President and CEO C/O ROCKWELL AUTOMATION, INC., 1201 SOUTH SECOND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
John M Miller officer: VP and Chief IP Counsel C/O ROCKWELL AUTOMATION, INC., 1201 SOUTH SECOND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Terry L. Riesterer officer: Vice President and Controller 1201 S. 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Nicholas C Gangestad officer: Sr. VP and CFO 3M CENTER-OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Veena M Lakkundi officer: SVP, Strategy & Corp Developmt 3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220 09 E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Isaac Woods officer: Vice President and Treasurer 1201 S 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Scott Genereux officer: Sr.VP, Chief Revenue Officer 26650 ALISO VIEJO PARKWAY, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Brian A Shepherd officer: Sr. VP Software and Control 1201 S 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Robert L. Buttermore officer: SVP,Chief Supply Chain Officer 1201 S. 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Cyril Perducat officer: SVP, Technology 1201 S. 2ND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Tessa M. Myers officer: SVP, Intelligent Devices 4545 W BROWN DEER ROAD, P.O. BOX 245036, MILWAUKEE WI 53224