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NiSource (NiSource) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-0.68 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is NiSource Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), NiSource's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.68. The stock price of NiSource is $27.94. Therefore, NiSource's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for NiSource's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NiSource was 18.11. The lowest was 0.97. And the median was 7.15.

NI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 1.03
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

NiSource Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NiSource's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NiSource Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

NiSource Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.44 -2.34 -3.33 -2.26 -0.68

NiSource Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.26 -1.23 -2.70 -3.40 -0.68

Competitive Comparison of NiSource's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, NiSource's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NiSource's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, NiSource's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NiSource's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NiSource Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NiSource's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-726.82.

NiSource's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-726.816+8269.6*0.8)/449.400
=-0.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NiSource  (NYSE:NI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NiSource's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=27.94/-0.6761545740382
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NiSource Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NiSource's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NiSource (NiSource) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
801 East 86th Avenue, Merrillville, IN, USA, 46410
NiSource is one of the nation's largest natural gas distribution companies with approximately 3.2 million customers in Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. NiSource's electric utility transmits and distributes electricity in northern Indiana to about 500,000 customers. The regulated electric utility also owns more than 3,000 megawatts of generation capacity, including coal, natural gas, and renewable energy.
Executives
Michael E Jesanis director C/O NISOURCE INC., 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Lloyd M Yates director 1N 2ND ST, HARTSVILLE SC 29550
Melody Birmingham officer: EVP & Chief Innovation Officer 550 S. TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Donald Eugene Brown officer: Executive Vice President 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
William Jr. Jefferson officer: EVP Operations & CSO 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Kimberly S Cuccia officer: VP, Interim GC & Corp Sec 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Michael Luhrs officer: EVP, Strategy & Risk & CCO P.O. BOX 14720, MADISON WI 53708-0720
Melanie B. Berman officer: SVP & CHRO 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
William D Johnson director 77 BEALE ST, PO BOX 770000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177
Cassandra S. Lee director 7615 ZIONSVILLE RD, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46268
Sondra L Barbour director 6801 ROCKLEDGE DRIVE, BETHESDA MD 20817
Eric L Butler director 1400 DOUGLAS STREET, STOP 1210, OMAHA NE 68179
Daniel A Creekmur officer: SVP & President, Gas Utilities 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Michael Hooper officer: SVP and President, NIPSCO 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Pablo Vegas officer: EVP & President Columbia Gas 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410

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