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Arq (ARQ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $7.94 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Arq Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Arq's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $7.94. The stock price of Arq is $7.87. Therefore, Arq's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arq's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ARQ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.15   Med: 0.42   Max: 1
Current: 1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Arq was 1.00. The lowest was 0.15. And the median was 0.42.

ARQ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
67.18% of 1895 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs ARQ: 1.00

Arq Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arq's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arq Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Arq Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.10 5.95 14.55 16.48 7.94

Arq Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.48 11.71 9.93 8.29 7.94

Competitive Comparison of Arq's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Pollution & Treatment Controls subindustry, Arq's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arq's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Arq's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arq's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Arq Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Arq's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $7.89.

Arq's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*7.89104+178.4*0.8)/32.734
=7.94

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Arq  (NAS:ARQ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Arq's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.87/7.9428664929155
=0.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Arq Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Arq (ARQ) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8051 E. Maplewood Avenue, Suite 210, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111
Advanced Emissions Solutions Inc provides solutions to customers in coal-fired power generation, municipal water, and other industries through proprietary emissions control and water purification technologies.
Executives
Joseph M Wong officer: Chief Technology Officer 640 PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 270, C/O ADVANCED EMISSIONS SOLUTIONS, INC., HIGHLANDS RANCH CO 80129
Jeremy Williamson officer: Chief Operating Officer 8051 E. MAPLEWOOD AVE, SUITE 210, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Robert E. Rasmus director, officer: Chief Executive Officer THREE RIVERWAY, SUITE 1350, HOUSTON TX 77056
Laurie Bergman director 460 NORTH GULPH ROAD, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Jeremy Blank director 6446 DREXEL AVENUE, LOS ANGELES CA 90048
Arq Ltd 10 percent owner 28-30 THE PARADE, ST. HELIER Y9 JE1 1EQ
Julian Alexander Mcintyre director 30A BROOK STREET, LONDON X0 W1K 5DJ
Richard Campbell-breeden director 30A BROOK STREET, LONDON X0 W1K 5DJ
Morgan Fields officer: VP of Accounting 890 SANTA CRUZ AVE., MENLO PARK CA 94025
Christine Bellino officer: Chief Accounting Officer 8051 E. MAPLEWOOD AVE., SUITE 210, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Alta Fundamental Advisers Sp Llc director 1500 BROADWAY, SUITE 704, NEW YORK NY 10036
Carol S Eicher director ROHM AND HAAS COMPANY, 100 INDEPENDENCE MALL WEST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Brian Leen director 640 PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 270, C/O ADVANCED EMISSIONS SOLUTIONS, INC., HIGHLANDS RANCH CO 80129
Ron Hanson officer: SVP of Operations of ADA-ES 9135 S RIDGELINE BLVD, SUITE 200, HIGHLANDS RANCH CO 80129
Theodore James Sanders officer: General Counsel 640 PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 270, HIGHLANDS RANCH CO 80129