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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-28), Alico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.13. The stock price of Alico is $28.77. Therefore, Alico's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alico was 2.67. The lowest was 0.72. And the median was 1.06.
The historical data trend for Alico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alico Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Sep14 | Sep15 | Sep16 | Sep17 | Sep18 | Sep19 | Sep20 | Sep21 | Sep22 | Sep23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 39.81 | 37.28 | 31.14 | 24.61 | 18.39 |
Alico Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 23.36 | 26.04 | 25.24 | 18.39 | 20.13 |
For the Farm Products subindustry, Alico's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Alico's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alico's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alico's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-8.08.
Alico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | -8.08016 | + | 287.749 | * | 0.8) | / | 7.616 | |
= | 20.13 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alico (NAS:ALCO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alico's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 28.77 | / | 20.125162270004 | |
= | 1.43 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alico's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Katherine English | director | 7951 DENI DRIVE, NORTH FORT MYERS FL 33917 |
Adam Putnam | director | ONE WATERFOWL WAY, MEMPHIS TN 38120 |
Bradley Heine | officer: Chief Financial Officer | C/O ALICO, INC., 10070 DANIELS INTERSTATE COURT, STE 200, FORT MYERS FL 33913 |
Vecchio Perry Del | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 3207 PACIFIC DR, NAPLES FL 34119 |
Arlon Valencia Holdings Llc | director | C/O ARLON GROUP 277 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10172 |
Remy W Trafelet | director, 10 percent owner | C/O TRAFELET BROKAW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT,, 410 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
734 Investors, Llc | director, 10 percent owner | C/O 734 AGRICULTURE, LLC, 410 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Toby K Purse | director | 1276 OSCEOLA DRIVE, FORT MYERS FL 33901 |
Benjamin D Fishman | director | 6 WILLOW PLACE, BROOKLYN NY 11201 |
George R Brokaw | director, 10 percent owner | DISH NETWORK CORPORATION, 9601 S MERIDIAN BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112 |
734 Agriculture, Llc | director, 10 percent owner | 410 PARK AVENUE, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Daniel Keith Sutton | officer: President of Citrus | 5289 RIVER BLOSSOM LANE, LABELLE FL 33935 |
Joseph Sambuco | director | 10070 DANIELS INTERSTATE COURT, FT MYERS FL 33913 |
Richard Rallo | officer: Chief Accounting Officer | 3265 LARSON BLVD, OCEANSIDE NY 11572 |
Clayton G Wilson | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | C/O THE LATT MAXCY CORPORATION, 21299 US HIGHWAY 27, LAKE WALES FL 33859 |
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