Darden Restaurants (Darden Restaurants) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $169.35 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Darden Restaurants's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $169.35.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Darden Restaurants's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Darden Restaurants is 7.82%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DRI' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.92 Med: 0.95 Max: 1.01
Current: 0.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Darden Restaurants was 1.01. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 0.95.

DRI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
85.71% of 28 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.68 vs DRI: 0.92

Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Darden Restaurants Annual Data

Trend

May14

May15

May16

May17

May18

May19

May20

May21

May22

May23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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172.32

Darden Restaurants Quarterly Data
	May19	Aug19	Nov19	Feb20	May20	Aug20	Nov20	Feb21	May21	Aug21	Nov21	Feb22	May22	Aug22	Nov22	Feb23	May23	Aug23	Nov23	Feb24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	172.32	161.86	166.24	169.35

Competitive Comparison of Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Darden Restaurants's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Darden Restaurants's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Darden Restaurants's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Darden Restaurants's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 6.50%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Darden Restaurants's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 6.50%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 6.50%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $13.311.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.065)/(1+0.11) = 0.95945945945946
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

13.311

12.7223

169.35

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(169.35	-	156.10)	/	169.35
	=	7.82 %

Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Darden Restaurants Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Darden Restaurants's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Darden Restaurants (Darden Restaurants) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Darden Restaurants Inc (NYSE:DRI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

DDN:Germany DDN:Germany

Address

1000 Darden Center Drive, Orlando, FL, USA, 32837

Website

https://www.darden.com

Darden Restaurants is the largest restaurant operator in the U.S. full-service space, with consolidated revenue of $10.5 billion in fiscal 2023 resulting in 3%-4% full-service market share (per NRA data and our calculations). The company maintains a portfolio of 10 restaurant brands: Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Ruth's Chris, Yard House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie V's, Bahama Breeze, and The Capital Burger. Darden generates revenue almost exclusively from company-owned restaurants, though a small network of franchised restaurants and consumer-packaged goods sales through the traditional grocery channel contribute modestly. As of the end of its fiscal 2023, the company operated 1,914 restaurants in the U.S.

Executives

John W. Madonna	officer: SVP, Corporate Controller	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Douglas J. Milanes	officer: SVP, Chief Supply Chain Ofcr	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Melvin John Martin	officer: President, SRG	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Sarah H. King	officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Susan M. Connelly	officer: SVP, Chief Comm & PA Officer	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Lee Eugene I Jr	officer: President, Speciality Rest Grp	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Rajesh Vennam	officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Ricardo Cardenas	officer: SVP Chief Strategy Officer	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Matthew R Broad	officer: SVP General Counsel	C/O DARDEN RESTAURANTS, INC., 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Todd Burrowes	officer: President, LongHorn Steakhouse	150 WEST CHURCH AVENUE, MARYVILLE TN 37801
Daniel J. Kiernan	officer: President, Olive Garden	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
William S Simon	director	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Nana Mensah	director	1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019
Richard L. Renninger	officer: SVP, Chief Development Officer	1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Timothy J Wilmott	director	C/O PENN NATIONAL GAMING, INC., 825 BERKSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610