GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Barnes & Noble Inc (NYSE:BKS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $0.42 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Barnes & Noble's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $0.42.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Barnes & Noble's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Barnes & Noble is -1,445.24%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BKS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.79
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Barnes & Noble Annual Data
Trend Apr10 Apr11 Apr12 Apr13 Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Barnes & Noble Quarterly Data
Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Barnes & Noble's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Barnes & Noble's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.036.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.036*11.5406
=0.42

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (0.42 - 6.49) / 0.42
= -1,445.24 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Barnes & Noble  (NYSE:BKS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Barnes & Noble Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Barnes & Noble's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
122 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10011
Barnes & Noble is a United States-based company that is mainly engaged in retail of books and products of content, digital media, and educational products. The company operates in a multichannel model, including a physical bookstore network throughout the country, an e-commerce platform on BN.com, and its Nook digital business. The company offers books, magazines, music, DVDs, newspapers, and entertainment content, along with e-reading products under the Nook brand. Retail sales from physical stores and BN.com account for the majority of the company's total revenue.
Executives
Al Ferrara director 433 LAWNDALE DRIVE, SOUTH SALT LAKE CITY UT 84115
Mark D Carleton director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD., ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Scott S Cowen director 7=6823 ST CHARLES AVE, NEW ORLEANS LA 70118
William Earl Wood officer: Exec. VP, Pres. of Digital 1901 CAPITAL PARKWAY, AUSTIN TX 78746
George Jr Campbell director 4 IRVING PLACE, NEW YORK NY 10003
Patricia Higgins director 11780 U.S. HIGHWAY 1, SUITE 600, PALM BEACH GARDENS FL 33408
Irwin D Simon director C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Leonard Riggio director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 122 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Allen W Lindstrom officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC., 122 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Bradley A. Feuer officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Secy C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC., 122 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Paul B Guenther director C/O GABELLI ASSET MANAGEMENT INC, ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 16580
Joseph Charles Gorman officer: Executive VP, Operations C/O GNC HOLDINGS, INC. 300 SIXTH AVENUE PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Tim Mantel officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O BARNES & NOBLE, INC 122 FIFTH AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10011
Carl S Hauch officer: Vice President, Stores ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC, 5008 AIRPORT RD, ROANOKE VA 24012
Demos Parneros director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 483 BAY ST, 7TH FL NORTH TOWER, TORONTOON A1 999999999

Barnes & Noble (Barnes & Noble) Headlines