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TD Ameritrade Holding (TD Ameritrade Holding) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $37.08 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), TD Ameritrade Holding's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $37.08.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

TD Ameritrade Holding's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for TD Ameritrade Holding is -7.79%.

The historical rank and industry rank for TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AMTD's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 1.26
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

TD Ameritrade Holding Annual Data
Trend Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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TD Ameritrade Holding Quarterly Data
Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> TD Ameritrade Holding's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $3.213.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.213*11.5406
=37.08

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (37.08 - 39.97) / 37.08
= -7.79 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TD Ameritrade Holding  (NAS:AMTD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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TD Ameritrade Holding (TD Ameritrade Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 South 108th Avenue, Omaha, NE, USA, 68154
TD Ameritrade is a leading retail brokerage and advisor services firm. Its largest shareholder is Toronto-Dominion Bank, which beneficially owns more than 40%. The firm offers trading in stocks, bonds, options, and other asset classes. Recently, TD Ameritrade derived approximately 55% of its revenue from interest-rate-related income and fees, 35% from commissions and transaction fees, and 10% from investment product and other revenue. Practically all of the company's revenue is generated in the United States. TD Ameritrade has a pending merger with Charles Schwab that is expected to close in the second half of 2020.
Executives
Lorenzo A Bettino director
Wilbur J Prezzano director 13515 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PL, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Joseph H Moglia director AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP, 4211 S 102ND ST, OMAHA NE 68127
Todd M Ricketts director C/O AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP, 4211 SOUTH 102ND ST, OMAHA NE 68127
Brian M Levitt director C/O DOMTAR CORPORATION, 234 KINGSLEY PARK DRIVE, FORT MILL SC 29715
V Ann Hailey director THREE LIMITED PARKWAY, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Allan R Tessler director C/O EPOCH HOLDING CORPORATION, 640 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK, NY 10019
Dominion Bank Toronto 10 percent owner 66 WELLINGTON STREET WEST, 12TH FLOOR, TD TOWER, TORONTO, ONTARIO A6 M5K 1A2
Td Group Us Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE, WILMINGTON DE 19808
Mark L Mitchell director AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP 4211 S 102ND ST OMAHA NE 68127
Td Luxembourg International Holdings S.a R.l. 10 percent owner 46A, AVENUE JOHN F. KENNEDY LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2951
Irene R Miller director C/O BARNES & NOBLE INC, 122 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Karen E. Maidment director TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORPORATION 6940 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DR., SUITE 200 COLUMBIA MD 21046
Steven M. Quirk officer: EVP, Trader Group C/O ROBINHOOD MARKETS INC., 85 WILLOW ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jon C. Peterson officer: Interim CFO 200 S. 108TH AVE OMAHA NE 68154

TD Ameritrade Holding (TD Ameritrade Holding) Headlines

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