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Destiny Media Technologies (Destiny Media Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-0.19 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Destiny Media Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Destiny Media Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-0.19.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Destiny Media Technologies's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Destiny Media Technologies is N/A.

The industry rank for Destiny Media Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DSNY's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Destiny Media Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Destiny Media Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Destiny Media Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Destiny Media Technologies Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Destiny Media Technologies Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Destiny Media Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Destiny Media Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Destiny Media Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Destiny Media Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Destiny Media Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Destiny Media Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.44%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Destiny Media Technologies's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.015.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Destiny Media Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.1) = 0.95454545454545
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.015*12.485
=-0.19

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-0.19-1.11)/-0.19
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Destiny Media Technologies  (OTCPK:DSNY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Destiny Media Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Destiny Media Technologies (Destiny Media Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
428 - 1575 West Georgia Street, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6G 2V3
Destiny Media Technologies Inc is a provider of secure digital content distribution and promotion solutions. The company operates solely in the digital media software segment. Its predominant services are Clipstream which enables any non-technical user to upload videos that will play on all modern web browsers and Play MPE, a digital distribution service that is used commercially by the recording industry. Destiny services are based on proprietary security, watermarking and instant play streaming media technologies. It also offers audio and video streaming solutions and secure file distribution to customers around the globe.
Executives
Mark A Graber 10 percent owner 2220 NORTHSTAR STREET, NUMBER 17, ANCHORAGE AK 99503
Olya Massalitina officer: Chief Financial Officer 1911 - 271 FRANCIS WAY, NEW WESTMINSTER A1 V3L 0H2
David M. Mossberg director 1905 HAY MEADOW COURT, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Hyonmyong Cho director 961 PASEO DEL SUR, SANTA FE NM 87501
Fred Vandenberg officer: Chief Financial Officer 800-570 GRANVILLE STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 3P1
Samuel Ritchie officer: CFO 24414 113 AVE, MAPLE RIDGE A1 V2W0H4
David Alexander Summers director C/O DESTINY MEDIA TECHNOLOGIES INC., 1110 - 885 W. GEORGIA STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 3E8
Steve Vestergaard director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 650 350 CENTRE ROAD, LIONS BAY A1 V0N 2E0
Sandra Boenisch officer: CFO 51 WEST 52ND STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Samuel Jay Graber director 3139 CLEARFIELD DRIVE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78230
Haig S Bagerdjian director 2777 NORTH ONTARIO ST, BURBANK CA 91504
Dale Borland officer: VP and COO of Subsidiary SUITE 750, 650 WEST GEORGIA STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6B 4N7
Edward Kolic director
Yoshitaro Kumagai director 5255 STEVENS CREEK BLVD., #284, SANTA CLARA CA 95051
Lawrence Jeffrey Langs director 134 LA ESPIRAL ROAD, ORINDA CA 94563