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TD Ameritrade Holding (TD Ameritrade Holding) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), TD Ameritrade Holding's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

TD Ameritrade Holding's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for TD Ameritrade Holding is N/A%.

The industry rank for TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AMTD's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 0.91 vs AMTD: 0.24

TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

TD Ameritrade Holding Annual Data
Trend Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.71 44.45 5.29 -104.02 196.74

TD Ameritrade Holding Quarterly Data
Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 159.09 196.74 109.99 402.67 185.30

Competitive Comparison of TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TD Ameritrade Holding's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> TD Ameritrade Holding's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 72.80%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

TD Ameritrade Holding's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*31.2501
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-39.97)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TD Ameritrade Holding  (NAS:AMTD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


TD Ameritrade Holding Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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TD Ameritrade Holding (TD Ameritrade Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 South 108th Avenue, Omaha, NE, USA, 68154
TD Ameritrade is a leading retail brokerage and advisor services firm. Its largest shareholder is Toronto-Dominion Bank, which beneficially owns more than 40%. The firm offers trading in stocks, bonds, options, and other asset classes. Recently, TD Ameritrade derived approximately 55% of its revenue from interest-rate-related income and fees, 35% from commissions and transaction fees, and 10% from investment product and other revenue. Practically all of the company's revenue is generated in the United States. TD Ameritrade has a pending merger with Charles Schwab that is expected to close in the second half of 2020.
Executives
Lorenzo A Bettino director
Wilbur J Prezzano director 13515 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PL, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Joseph H Moglia director AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP, 4211 S 102ND ST, OMAHA NE 68127
Todd M Ricketts director C/O AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP, 4211 SOUTH 102ND ST, OMAHA NE 68127
Brian M Levitt director C/O DOMTAR CORPORATION, 234 KINGSLEY PARK DRIVE, FORT MILL SC 29715
V Ann Hailey director THREE LIMITED PARKWAY, COLUMBUS OH 43230
Allan R Tessler director C/O EPOCH HOLDING CORPORATION, 640 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK, NY 10019
Dominion Bank Toronto 10 percent owner 66 WELLINGTON STREET WEST, 12TH FLOOR, TD TOWER, TORONTO, ONTARIO A6 M5K 1A2
Td Group Us Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 251 LITTLE FALLS DRIVE, WILMINGTON DE 19808
Mark L Mitchell director AMERITRADE HOLDING CORP 4211 S 102ND ST OMAHA NE 68127
Td Luxembourg International Holdings S.a R.l. 10 percent owner 46A, AVENUE JOHN F. KENNEDY LUXEMBOURG N4 L-2951
Irene R Miller director C/O BARNES & NOBLE INC, 122 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Karen E. Maidment director TD AMERITRADE HOLDING CORPORATION 6940 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DR., SUITE 200 COLUMBIA MD 21046
Steven M. Quirk officer: EVP, Trader Group C/O ROBINHOOD MARKETS INC., 85 WILLOW ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Jon C. Peterson officer: Interim CFO 200 S. 108TH AVE OMAHA NE 68154