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Power Integrations (Power Integrations) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $17.80 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Power Integrations Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-02), Power Integrations's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $17.80.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Power Integrations's Predictability Rank is 2-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Power Integrations is -269.38%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Power Integrations's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

POWI' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.67   Med: 4.23   Max: 4.23
Current: 3.69

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Power Integrations was 4.23. The lowest was 3.67. And the median was 4.23.

POWI's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
84.72% of 144 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs POWI: 3.69

Power Integrations Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Power Integrations's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Power Integrations Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Power Integrations Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 19.41

Power Integrations Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 19.41

Competitive Comparison of Power Integrations's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Power Integrations's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Power Integrations's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Power Integrations's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Power Integrations's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Power Integrations Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.61%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.00%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Power Integrations's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 11.00%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.00%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $1.040.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Power Integrations's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.11)/(1+0.11) = 1
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.040*17.1118
=17.80

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(17.8-65.75)/17.8
=-269.38 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Power Integrations  (NAS:POWI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Power Integrations Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Power Integrations (Power Integrations) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5245 Hellyer Avenue, San Jose, CA, USA, 95138-1002
Power Integrations Inc design, develop and market analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits (ICs) and other electronic components and circuitry used in high-voltage power conversion. Products are used in power converters that convert electricity from a high-voltage source to the type of power required for a specified downstream use. Products are used in electronic products including mobile phones, computing and networking equipment, appliances, electronic utility meters, battery-powered tools, industrial controls, and home-automation, or internet of things applications such as networked thermostats, power strips and security devices. Geographically, revenue is generated in China and Hong Kong.
Executives
Sandeep Nayyar officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS, INC., 39870 EUREKA DRIVE, NEWARK CA 94560
Balu Balakrishnan officer: President & CEO C/O POWER INTEGRATIONS, 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
David Mh Matthews officer: VP of Product Development 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Doug Bailey officer: VP Marketing 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Clifford Walker officer: VP of Corp Development C/O POWER INTEGRATIONS, 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Sunil Gupta officer: VP of Operations INTERSIL CORPORATION, 1001 MURPHY RANCH ROAD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Nicholas Brathwaite director C/O POWER INTEGRATIONS, 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Yang Chiah Yee officer: VP, Worldwide Sales 2911 ZANKER ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Radu Barsan officer: VP of Technology, Engineering 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Necip Sayiner director 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ, AUSTIN TX 78701
Ravi Vig director C/O ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS, INC., 955 PERIMETER ROAD, MANCHESTER NH 03103
Nancy Lee Gioia director 6555 WEST GOOD HOPE RD., MILWAUKEE WI 53223
Steven Sharp director C/O POWER INTEGRATIONS, 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Ben Sutherland officer: Acting VP of Sales 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Jennifer A Lloyd director 5245 HELLYER AVE, SAN JOSE CA 95138