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Harley-Davidson (Harley-Davidson) Graham Number

: $48.98 (As of Dec. 2023)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-16), the stock price of Harley-Davidson is $39.10. Harley-Davidson's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $48.98. Therefore, Harley-Davidson's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 0.80.

The historical rank and industry rank for Harley-Davidson's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

HOG' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.75   Med: 1.51   Max: 3.07
Current: 0.8

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Harley-Davidson was 3.07. The lowest was 0.75. And the median was 1.51.

HOG's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked better than
65.69% of 959 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.14 vs HOG: 0.80

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Harley-Davidson Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Harley-Davidson's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Harley-Davidson Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Graham Number
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.52 11.97 38.88 46.46 49.22

Harley-Davidson Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.50 50.46 49.75 49.56 48.98

Competitive Comparison

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Harley-Davidson's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Harley-Davidson Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Harley-Davidson's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Harley-Davidson's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Harley-Davidson Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Harley-Davidson's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*23.351*4.611)
=49.22

Harley-Davidson's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*23.351*4.567)
=48.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Harley-Davidson  (NYSE:HOG) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Harley-Davidson's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=39.10/48.98
=0.80

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Harley-Davidson Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Harley-Davidson's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Harley-Davidson (Harley-Davidson) Business Description

Address
3700 West Juneau Avenue, Milwaukee, WI, USA, 53208
Harley-Davidson is a global leading manufacturer of heavyweight motorcycles, merchandise, parts, and accessories. It sells custom, cruiser, and touring motorcycles and offers a complete line of Harley-Davidson motorcycle parts, accessories, riding gear, and apparel, as well as merchandise. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale financing to dealers and retail financing and insurance brokerage services to customers. Harley has historically captured about half of all heavyweight domestic retail motorcycle registrations, a metric it had ceded in 2020 as it repositioned the business, and has yet to restore (at 39% in the third quarter). In recent years the firm has expanded into the adventure touring market with its Pan America model and into electric with the LiveWire brand.
Executives
Charles Do officer: Sr. Vice President, HDFSI 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Rafeh Masood director C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 25 RESEARCH DRIVE, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581
Sara L Levinson director RODALE INC, 733 3RD AVE 15TH FL, MILWAUKEE WI 10017
Allan C. Golston director 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD., KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Farley Jr James D director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Maryrose Sylvester director C/O 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
R John Anderson director LEVI STRAUSS & CO., 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Norman Thomas Linebarger director
Troy Alstead director 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
David Viney officer: Interim CFO, VP and Treasurer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
O'sullivan Coyne Edel M. officer: Chief Commercial Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Jonathan R Root officer: SVP - HDFSI 3700 W JUNEAU, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Jagdish Krishnan officer: Chief Digital Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Tori Termaat officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 3700 WEST JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Gina M Goetter officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HASBRO, INC., 1027 NEWPORT AVENUE, PAWTUCKET RI 02861