Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.
As of today (2024-04-23), the stock price of Forward Air is $24.01. Forward Air's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $35.42. Therefore, Forward Air's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 0.68.
The historical rank and industry rank for Forward Air's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:
FWRD'
s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66 Med: 2.75 Max: 5.12
Current: 0.68
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Forward Air was 5.12. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 2.75.
FWRD's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked better than 70.36% of 732
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.975
vs FWRD: 0.68
Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.
Forward Air Graham Number Historical Data
The historical data trend for Forward Air's Graham Number can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Forward Air's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Forward Air Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Forward Air's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Forward Air's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.
Forward Air Graham Number Calculation
Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.
Forward Air's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Forward Air (NAS:FWRD) Graham Number Explanation
Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:
Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.
Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)
Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.
In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.
Forward Air's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Graham number
=
Share Price (Today)
/
Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=
24.01
/
35.42
=
0.68
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Be Aware
Please keep these in mind:
1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.
Forward Air Graham Number Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Forward Air's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Forward Air Corp is an asset-light freight and logistics company. The company's operating segment includes Expedited Freight and Intermodal. It generates maximum revenue from the Expedited Freight segment. Expedited Freight segment operates a comprehensive national network to provide expedited regional, inter-regional and national LTL (less-than-truckload) services. It also offers customers local pick-up and delivery and other services including final mile, truckload, shipment consolidation and deconsolidation, warehousing, customs brokerage, and other handling.
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