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Fossil Group (Fossil Group) Piotroski F-Score : 1 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Fossil Group Piotroski F-Score?

Warning Sign:

Piotroski F-Score of 1 is low, which usually implies poor business operation.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Fossil Group has an F-score of 1. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FOSL' s Piotroski F-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1   Med: 4   Max: 8
Current: 1

During the past 13 years, the highest Piotroski F-Score of Fossil Group was 8. The lowest was 1. And the median was 4.


Fossil Group Piotroski F-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fossil Group Piotroski F-Score Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Piotroski F-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.00 3.00 8.00 2.00 1.00

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Piotroski F-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.00 2.00 2.00 1.00 1.00

Competitive Comparison of Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Piotroski F-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Piotroski F-Score falls into.


How is the Piotroski F-Score calculated?

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Net Income was -41.262 + -26.529 + -61.062 + -28.235 = $-157 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -85.862 + 2.814 + -24.914 + 48.503 = $-59 Mil.
Revenue was 325.036 + 321.966 + 344.121 + 421.261 = $1,412 Mil.
Gross Profit was 160.717 + 156.667 + 161.663 + 200.534 = $680 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of this year (Dec22)
to the end of this year (Dec23) was
(1238.128 + 1085.995 + 1073.363 + 1063.244 + 978.03) / 5 = $1087.752 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of this year (Dec22) was $1,238 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $345 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $711 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $342 Mil.
Net Income was -21.514 + -19.074 + 5.849 + -9.418 = $-44 Mil.

Revenue was 375.853 + 371.168 + 436.271 + 499.147 = $1,682 Mil.
Gross Profit was 184.313 + 191.349 + 219.62 + 235.397 = $831 Mil.
Average Total Assets from the begining of last year (Dec21)
to the end of last year (Dec22) was
(1368.719 + 1265.322 + 1283.424 + 1314.986 + 1238.128) / 5 = $1294.1158 Mil.
Total Assets at the begining of last year (Dec21) was $1,369 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $366 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $945 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $426 Mil.

*Note: If the latest quarterly/semi-annual/annual total assets data is 0, then we will use previous quarterly/semi-annual/annual data for all the items in the balance sheet.

Profitability

Question 1. Return on Assets (ROA)

Net income before extraordinary items for the year divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Fossil Group's current Net Income (TTM) was -157. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 2. Cash Flow Return on Assets (CFROA)

Net cash flow from operating activities (operating cash flow) divided by Total Assets at the beginning of the year.

Score 1 if positive, 0 if negative.

Fossil Group's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was -59. ==> Negative ==> Score 0.

Question 3. Change in Return on Assets

Compare this year's return on assets (1) to last year's return on assets.

Score 1 if it's higher, 0 if it's lower.

ROA (This Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Dec22)
=-157.088/1238.128
=-0.12687541

ROA (Last Year)=Net Income/Total Assets (Dec21)
=-44.157/1368.719
=-0.03226155

Fossil Group's return on assets of this year was -0.12687541. Fossil Group's return on assets of last year was -0.03226155. ==> Last year is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 4. Quality of Earnings (Accrual)

Compare Cash flow return on assets (2) to return on assets (1)

Score 1 if CFROA > ROA, 0 if CFROA <= ROA.

Fossil Group's current Net Income (TTM) was -157. Fossil Group's current Cash Flow from Operations (TTM) was -59. ==> -59 > -157 ==> CFROA > ROA ==> Score 1.

Funding

Question 5. Change in Gearing or Leverage

Compare this year's gearing (long-term debt divided by average total assets) to last year's gearing.

Score 0 if this year's gearing is higher, 1 otherwise.

Gearing (This Year: Dec23)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Dec22 to Dec23
=344.627/1087.752
=0.31682497

Gearing (Last Year: Dec22)=Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation/Average Total Assets from Dec21 to Dec22
=366.32/1294.1158
=0.28306586

Fossil Group's gearing of this year was 0.31682497. Fossil Group's gearing of last year was 0.28306586. ==> Last year is lower than this year ==> Score 0.

Question 6. Change in Working Capital (Liquidity)

Compare this year's current ratio (current assets divided by current liabilities) to last year's current ratio.

Score 1 if this year's current ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Current Ratio (This Year: Dec23)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=710.69/342.477
=2.07514665

Current Ratio (Last Year: Dec22)=Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities
=945.3/425.92
=2.21943088

Fossil Group's current ratio of this year was 2.07514665. Fossil Group's current ratio of last year was 2.21943088. ==> Last year's current ratio is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 7. Change in Shares in Issue

Compare the number of shares in issue this year, to the number in issue last year.

Score 0 if there is larger number of shares in issue this year, 1 otherwise.

Fossil Group's number of shares in issue this year was 52.479. Fossil Group's number of shares in issue last year was 51.835. ==> There is larger number of shares in issue this year. ==> Score 0.

Efficiency

Question 8. Change in Gross Margin

Compare this year's gross margin (Gross Profit divided by sales) to last year's.

Score 1 if this year's gross margin is higher, 0 if it's lower.

Gross Margin (This Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=679.581/1412.384
=0.48115881

Gross Margin (Last Year: TTM)=Gross Profit/Revenue
=830.679/1682.439
=0.49373499

Fossil Group's gross margin of this year was 0.48115881. Fossil Group's gross margin of last year was 0.49373499. ==> Last year's gross margin is higher ==> Score 0.

Question 9. Change in asset turnover

Compare this year's asset turnover (total sales for the year divided by total assets at the beginning of the year) to last year's asset turnover ratio.

Score 1 if this year's asset turnover ratio is higher, 0 if it's lower

Asset Turnover (This Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of This Year (Dec22)
=1412.384/1238.128
=1.14074151

Asset Turnover (Last Year)=Revenue/Total Assets at the Beginning of Last Year (Dec21)
=1682.439/1368.719
=1.22920702

Fossil Group's asset turnover of this year was 1.14074151. Fossil Group's asset turnover of last year was 1.22920702. ==> Last year's asset turnover is higher ==> Score 0.

Evaluation

Piotroski F-Score= Que. 1+ Que. 2+ Que. 3+Que. 4+Que. 5+Que. 6+Que. 7+Que. 8+Que. 9
=0+0+0+1+0+0+0+0+0
=1

Good or high score = 7, 8, 9
Bad or low score = 0, 1, 2, 3

Fossil Group has an F-score of 1. It is a bad or low score, which usually implies poor business operation.

Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) Piotroski F-Score Explanation

The developer of the system is Joseph D. Piotroski is relatively unknown accounting professor who shuns publicity and rarely gives interviews.

He graduated from the University of Illinois with a B.S. in accounting in 1989, received an M.B.A. from Indiana University in 1994. Five years later, in 1999, after earning a Ph.D. in accounting from the University of Michigan, he became an associate professor of accounting at the University of Chicago.

In 2000, he wrote a research paper called "Value Investing: The Use of Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers" (pdf).

He wanted to see if he can develop a system (using a simple nine-point scoring system) that can increase the returns of a strategy of investing in low price to book (referred to in the paper as high book to market) value companies.

What he found was something that exceeded his most optimistic expectations.

Buying only those companies that scored highest (8 or 9) on his nine-point scale, or F-Score as he called it, over the 20 year period from 1976 to 1996 led to an average out-performance over the market of 13.4%.

Even more impressive were the results of a strategy of investing in the highest F-Score companies (8 or 9) and shorting companies with the lowest F-Score (0 or 1).

Over the same period from 1976 to 1996 (20 years) this strategy led to an average yearly return of 23%, substantially outperforming the average S&P 500 index return of 15.83% over the same period.


Fossil Group Piotroski F-Score Related Terms

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Fossil Group (Fossil Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories. The products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts and sunglasses. The reportable segments are comprised of 1) Americas segment includes sales in Canada, Latin America and the United States. 2) Europe segment includes sales in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. 3) Asia segment includes sales in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. Each reportable operating segment includes sales to wholesale and distributor customers, and sales through Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity.
Executives
Suzanne M Coulter director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kosta N Kartsotis director, 10 percent owner, officer: Pres. & CEO 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Diane L Neal director
Melissa B Lowenkron officer: SVP, General Manager, Fossil 901 S CENTRAL EXPY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Holly Briedis officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer 901 S CENTRAL EXPY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Gregory A Mckelvey officer: Executive Vice President 2515 MCKINNEY AVE., SUITE 1200, DALLAS TX 75201
Darren E. Hart officer: Executive Vice President 2280 N. GREENVILLE AVENUE, RICHARDSON TX 75082
Steve Andrew Evans officer: Executive Vice President 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Gail B Tifford director 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75134
Marc Rey director 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Sunil M Doshi officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 5760 STATE HIGHWAY 121, SUITE 250, PLANO TX 75024
Martin Frey officer: EVP 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
William B Chiasson director C/O LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC., 6401 HOLLIS STREET, SUITE 150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Kim Harris Jones director THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Kevin Mansell director C/O KOHLS LEGAL, N56 W170000 RIDGEWOOD DR, MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051