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The GEO Group (The GEO Group) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 10.40 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-27), The GEO Group's current share price is $14.87. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.43. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 10.40.

The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GEO' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.35   Med: 48.11   Max: 326.1
Current: 10.36

During the past years, The GEO Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 326.10. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 48.11.

GEO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
69.66% of 356 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 17.405 vs GEO: 10.36

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The GEO Group's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.264. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.43 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.54 9.10 6.11 8.40 7.59

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.40 5.85 5.14 5.73 7.59

Competitive Comparison of The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=14.87/1.43
=10.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, The GEO Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.264/129.4194*129.4194
=0.264

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

The GEO Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.423 99.695 0.549
201406 0.420 100.560 0.541
201409 -0.038 100.428 -0.049
201412 0.013 99.070 0.017
201503 0.240 99.621 0.312
201506 -0.166 100.684 -0.213
201509 0.020 100.392 0.026
201512 0.128 99.792 0.166
201603 -0.413 100.470 -0.532
201606 0.343 101.688 0.437
201609 -0.646 101.861 -0.821
201612 -0.267 101.863 -0.339
201703 0.118 102.862 0.148
201706 -0.246 103.349 -0.308
201709 -0.239 104.136 -0.297
201712 2.269 104.011 2.823
201803 0.143 105.290 0.176
201806 0.461 106.317 0.561
201809 -0.120 106.507 -0.146
201812 0.168 105.998 0.205
201903 0.594 107.251 0.717
201906 0.759 108.070 0.909
201909 0.591 108.329 0.706
201912 -0.094 108.420 -0.112
202003 0.814 108.902 0.967
202006 0.881 108.767 1.048
202009 0.592 109.815 0.698
202012 0.488 109.897 0.575
202103 0.811 111.754 0.939
202106 0.528 114.631 0.596
202109 0.586 115.734 0.655
202112 -0.156 117.630 -0.172
202203 0.891 121.301 0.951
202206 0.228 125.017 0.236
202209 0.158 125.227 0.163
202212 0.414 125.222 0.428
202303 0.647 127.348 0.658
202306 0.003 128.729 0.003
202309 0.792 129.860 0.789
202312 0.264 129.419 0.264

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


The GEO Group  (NYSE:GEO) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The GEO Group (The GEO Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community-reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which primarily encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services.
Executives
Shayn P. March officer: VP of Finance and Treasurer C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Scott Michael Kernan director C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
James H. Black officer: SVP & Pres, Secure Services 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Christopher D. Ryan officer: Senior VP, Human Resources 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Lindsay L. Koren director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Matthew Albence officer: Senior VP, Client Relations 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Andrew N Shapiro director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Thomas C. Bartzokis director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Terry P. Mayotte director C/O TREAN INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 150 LAKE STREET WEST, WAYZATA MN 55391
Jack Brewer director 6200 EXCELSIOR BLVD., SUITE 104, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
George C Zoley director, officer: Chairman & CEO C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Anne N Foreman director C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Richard H Glanton director C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Duane Helkowski director 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Blake Davis officer: Pres. GEO Secure Services 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431