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Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 36.30 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-27), Caterpillar's current share price is $343.38. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $9.46. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 36.30.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CAT' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.27   Med: 25.19   Max: 100.7
Current: 36.28

During the past years, Caterpillar's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 100.70. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.19.

CAT's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
60.61% of 99 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 26.88 vs CAT: 36.28

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $2.648. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $9.46 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.43 29.29 29.63 28.56 31.34

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.45 27.95 29.98 31.34 38.72

Competitive Comparison of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=343.38/9.46
=36.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.648/129.4194*129.4194
=2.648

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 2.258 100.560 2.906
201409 1.935 100.428 2.494
201412 1.415 99.070 1.848
201503 0.725 99.621 0.942
201506 2.363 100.684 3.037
201509 1.311 100.392 1.690
201512 1.308 99.792 1.696
201603 -0.425 100.470 -0.547
201606 2.462 101.688 3.133
201609 0.977 101.861 1.241
201612 1.598 101.863 2.030
201703 1.741 102.862 2.190
201706 2.968 103.349 3.717
201709 1.213 104.136 1.508
201712 -0.260 104.011 -0.324
201803 0.293 105.290 0.360
201806 2.279 106.317 2.774
201809 1.310 106.507 1.592
201812 2.162 105.998 2.640
201903 0.992 107.251 1.197
201906 3.333 108.070 3.991
201909 0.246 108.329 0.294
201912 2.907 108.420 3.470
202003 1.056 108.902 1.255
202006 1.728 108.767 2.056
202009 2.271 109.815 2.676
202012 2.628 109.897 3.095
202103 2.583 111.754 2.991
202106 2.778 114.631 3.136
202109 2.106 115.734 2.355
202112 1.154 117.630 1.270
202203 -0.680 121.301 -0.726
202206 3.067 125.017 3.175
202209 3.533 125.227 3.651
202212 3.891 125.222 4.021
202303 1.585 127.348 1.611
202306 4.936 128.729 4.962
202309 6.397 129.860 6.375
202312 6.207 129.419 6.207
202403 2.648 129.419 2.648

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Caterpillar  (NYSE:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.
Executives
Anthony D. Fassino officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Cheryl H Johnson officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Joseph E Creed officer: Interim CFO 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Denise C Johnson officer: Group President C/O CATERPILLAR, INCORPORATED, 901 WEST WASHINGTON, CV41110, EAST PEORIA IL 61630
Lange Bob De officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Fish James C Jr director 800 CAPITOL STREET 3000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Judith Fran Marks director C/O HUBBELL INCORPORATED, 40 WATERVIEW DRIVE, SHELTON CT 06484
David Maclennan director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Suzette M Long officer: Int. Executive Vice President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFILED IL 60015
Daniel M Dickinson director THAYER CAPITAL PARTNERS, 1455 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE NW, STE 350, WASHINGTON DC 20004
William E Schaupp officer: Chief Accounting Officer PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Gary Michael Marvel officer: Chief Accounting Officer 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Gerald Johnson director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C23-A68, DETROIT MI 48265
Ramin Younessi officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
William P Ainsworth officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD X1 60015

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