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Saia (SAIA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $2.08 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Saia Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Saia's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.327. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.08 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Saia's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 50.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 58.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 46.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 24.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Saia was 62.80% per year. The lowest was -15.70% per year. And the median was 24.05% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Saia's current stock price is $428.81. Saia's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.08. Saia's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 206.16.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Saia was 968.75. The lowest was 81.74. And the median was 210.10.


Saia Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Saia's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Saia Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Saia Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.32 0.52 0.99 1.38 2.08

Saia Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.38 1.37 1.87 1.89 2.08

Competitive Comparison of Saia's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Trucking subindustry, Saia's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Saia's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Saia's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saia's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Saia Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Saia's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=2.327/129.4194*129.4194
=2.327

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Saia Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 -0.168 99.695 -0.218
201406 -0.626 100.560 -0.806
201409 1.272 100.428 1.639
201412 -0.306 99.070 -0.400
201503 -0.153 99.621 -0.199
201506 0.567 100.684 0.729
201509 1.355 100.392 1.747
201512 0.558 99.792 0.724
201603 -1.456 100.470 -1.876
201606 0.053 101.688 0.067
201609 1.758 101.861 2.234
201612 0.682 101.863 0.867
201703 -2.474 102.862 -3.113
201706 0.625 103.349 0.783
201709 0.769 104.136 0.956
201712 -0.035 104.011 -0.044
201803 -0.433 105.290 -0.532
201806 0.187 106.317 0.228
201809 1.455 106.507 1.768
201812 0.033 105.998 0.040
201903 -1.001 107.251 -1.208
201906 -1.004 108.070 -1.202
201909 0.565 108.329 0.675
201912 0.873 108.420 1.042
202003 -2.126 108.902 -2.527
202006 2.096 108.767 2.494
202009 1.288 109.815 1.518
202012 1.663 109.897 1.958
202103 1.327 111.754 1.537
202106 0.170 114.631 0.192
202109 2.728 115.734 3.051
202112 -0.597 117.630 -0.657
202203 1.864 121.301 1.989
202206 0.069 125.017 0.071
202209 0.505 125.227 0.522
202212 1.519 125.222 1.570
202303 -0.342 127.348 -0.348
202306 2.750 128.729 2.765
202309 0.424 129.860 0.423
202312 2.327 129.419 2.327

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Saia  (NAS:SAIA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Saia's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=428.81/2.08
=206.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Saia was 968.75. The lowest was 81.74. And the median was 210.10.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Saia Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Saia's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Saia (SAIA) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Saia Inc (NAS:SAIA) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11465 Johns Creek Parkway, Suite 400, Johns Creek, GA, USA, 30097
Saia ranks among the 10 largest less-than-truckload carriers in the United States, with more than 190 facilities and a fleet of about 6,200 tractors and 20,800 trailers. As a national LTL carrier, the firm offers time-definite and expedited options for shipments ranging between 100 and 10,000 pounds. Saia ranks among the top-tier providers in terms of profitability.
Executives
Di-ann Eisnor director 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Raymond R Ramu officer: Chief Customer Officer 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Patrick D Sugar officer: EVP Operations 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Holzgrefe Frederick J Iii officer: VP Finance, CFO and Secretary 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Douglas L Col officer: VP Finance, CFO 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Susan F Ward director 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Donna E Epps director 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Richard D Odell officer: President & CEO of Saia 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, STE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Anthony R Norwood officer: EVP & CHRO 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Kelly W Benton officer: VP & Controller 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Rohit Lal officer: VP Information Technology, CIO 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Kevin A Henry director 13024 BALLANTYNE CORPORATE PLACE, HARRIS BUILDING, SUITE 900, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Donald R James director 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Karla J Staver officer: VP Safety and Human Resources 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Stephanie R Maschmeier officer: Controller 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE 400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097

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