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Mattel (Mattel) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $0.80 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $0.101. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $0.80 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Mattel's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -100.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -10.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Mattel was 18.20% per year. The lowest was -12.40% per year. And the median was 2.70% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Mattel's current stock price is $18.36. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $0.80. Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 22.95.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 29.11. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 17.27.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Mattel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.09 1.02 1.00 0.74 0.79

Mattel Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.73 0.80 0.90 0.79 0.80

Competitive Comparison of Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Leisure subindustry, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Mattel's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.101/129.4194*129.4194
=0.101

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Mattel Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.600 100.560 -0.772
201409 -0.379 100.428 -0.488
201412 2.782 99.070 3.634
201503 -0.271 99.621 -0.352
201506 -0.775 100.684 -0.996
201509 -0.113 100.392 -0.146
201512 2.566 99.792 3.328
201603 -0.395 100.470 -0.509
201606 -0.638 101.688 -0.812
201609 -0.461 101.861 -0.586
201612 2.429 101.863 3.086
201703 -1.109 102.862 -1.395
201706 -0.926 103.349 -1.160
201709 -0.807 104.136 -1.003
201712 1.889 104.011 2.350
201803 -0.932 105.290 -1.146
201806 -0.910 106.317 -1.108
201809 -0.601 106.507 -0.730
201812 1.917 105.998 2.341
201903 -0.627 107.251 -0.757
201906 -0.670 108.070 -0.802
201909 -0.404 108.329 -0.483
201912 1.891 108.420 2.257
202003 -0.605 108.902 -0.719
202006 -0.904 108.767 -1.076
202009 -0.003 109.815 -0.004
202012 1.948 109.897 2.294
202103 -0.205 111.754 -0.237
202106 -0.700 114.631 -0.790
202109 -0.155 115.734 -0.173
202112 1.926 117.630 2.119
202203 -0.501 121.301 -0.535
202206 -0.899 125.017 -0.931
202209 0.281 125.227 0.290
202212 1.833 125.222 1.894
202303 -0.703 127.348 -0.714
202306 -0.419 128.729 -0.421
202309 0.565 129.860 0.563
202312 2.557 129.419 2.557
202403 0.101 129.419 0.101

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Mattel  (NAS:MAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=18.36/0.8
=22.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mattel was 29.11. The lowest was 6.55. And the median was 17.27.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Mattel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mattel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mattel (Mattel) Business Description

Industry
Address
333 Continental Boulevard, El Segundo, CA, USA, 90245-5012
Mattel markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale customers and direct to retail consumers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales are generated from North America, with the remainder stemming from international markets.
Executives
Richard Todd Bradley director C/O HEWLETT-PACKARD COMPANY, 3000 HANOVER STREET, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Yoon J. Hugh officer: SVP & Corporate Controller C/O MATTEL, INC., 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Isaias Zanatta Roberto Jacobo officer: EVP & Chief Supply Chain Offr 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, TWR 15-1, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Steve Totzke officer: President, Chief Comm Officer 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, TWR 15-1, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Amanda J Thompson officer: EVP & Chief People Officer 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, TRW 15-1, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Jonathan Anschell officer: EVP Chief Legal Officer & Sec C/O CBS CORPORATION, 51 WEST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Noreena Hertz director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Soren T Laursen director 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, TRW 15-1, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Anthony Disilvestro officer: Chief Financial Officer 1 CAMPBELL PLACE, CAMDEN NJ 08103
Richard Dickson officer: Pres & Chief Operating Officer C/O MATTEL, INC., 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Diana Sue Ferguson director C/O SARA LEE CORP, 70 W MADISO ST, CHICAGO IL 60602
Michael J Dolan director C/O MATTEL INC, 333 CONTINENTAL BLVD M-1518, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Joseph J Euteneuer officer: Chief Financial Officer
Ynon Kreiz director 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, M1: 1518, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Roger Lynch director PANDORA MEDIA, INC., 2101 WEBSTER STREET, SUITE 1650, OAKLAND CA 94612