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Costco Wholesale (COST) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $10.41 (As of Feb. 2024)


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What is Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was $-0.675. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $10.41 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Costco Wholesale's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Costco Wholesale was 44.80% per year. The lowest was -3.80% per year. And the median was 14.90% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Costco Wholesale's current stock price is $729.18. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 was $10.41. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 70.05.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Costco Wholesale was 73.62. The lowest was 36.03. And the median was 46.60.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.58 6.56 7.61 8.59 9.87

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.43 9.25 9.87 10.57 10.41

Competitive Comparison of Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Costco Wholesale's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=-0.675/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.675

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 129.4194.

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201405 3.876 100.373 4.998
201408 -0.805 100.352 -1.038
201411 1.296 99.635 1.683
201502 0.650 99.032 0.849
201505 3.766 100.333 4.858
201508 0.504 100.548 0.649
201511 0.217 100.135 0.280
201602 0.378 100.040 0.489
201605 3.170 101.355 4.048
201608 -2.308 101.617 -2.939
201611 4.826 101.829 6.134
201702 -0.052 102.779 -0.065
201705 2.417 103.256 3.029
201708 2.390 103.587 2.986
201711 2.690 104.072 3.345
201802 -0.904 105.052 -1.114
201805 3.441 106.148 4.195
201808 1.124 106.383 1.367
201811 3.268 106.338 3.977
201902 -1.822 106.649 -2.211
201905 3.237 108.048 3.877
201908 2.892 108.245 3.458
201911 3.126 108.519 3.728
202002 0.167 109.139 0.198
202005 2.704 108.175 3.235
202008 7.629 109.662 9.003
202011 3.947 109.793 4.653
202102 -1.204 110.968 -1.404
202105 5.190 113.576 5.914
202108 4.154 115.421 4.658
202111 4.955 117.269 5.468
202202 -0.724 119.703 -0.783
202205 0.838 123.323 0.879
202208 2.805 124.958 2.905
202211 3.494 125.607 3.600
202302 5.179 126.928 5.281
202305 1.623 128.314 1.637
202308 4.880 129.538 4.876
202311 8.126 129.548 8.118
202402 -0.675 129.419 -0.675

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Costco Wholesale  (NAS:COST) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=729.18/10.41
=70.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Costco Wholesale was 73.62. The lowest was 36.03. And the median was 46.60.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Costco Wholesale (COST) Business Description

Address
999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Costco operates a membership-based, no-frills retail model, predicated on offering a select product assortment in bulk quantities at bargain prices. The firm avoids maintaining costly product displays by keeping inventory on pallets and limits distribution expenses by storing its inventory at point of sale in the warehouse. Given Costco's frugal cost structure, the firm is able to price its merchandise below competing retailers, driving high sales volume per warehouse and allowing the retailer to generate strong profits on thin margins. Costco operates nearly 600 warehouses in the United States and boasts over 60% market share in the domestic warehouse club industry. Internationally, Costco operates another 270 warehouses, primarily in markets such as Canada, Mexico, Japan, and the U.K.
Executives
W Craig Jelinek officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Yoram Rubananko officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Caton Frates officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Daniel M. Hines other: Principal Acctg Officer 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Richard A Galanti director, officer: Executive VP and CFO 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Pierre Riel officer: EVP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Russell D Miller officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Claudine Adamo officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
James C Klauer officer: Executive Vice President 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Patrick J Callans officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Helena Foulkes director ONE CVS DRIVE, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Susan L Decker director C/O YAHOO INC, 701 FIRST AVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Roland Michael Vachris officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
James P. Murphy officer: Executive VP 999 LAKE DRIVE, ISSAQUAH WA 98027
Kenneth D Denman director