GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » George Risk Industries Inc (OTCPK:RSKIA) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

George Risk Industries (George Risk Industries) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 12.32% (As of Jan. 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is George Risk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. George Risk Industries's forward rate of return for was 12.32%.

The historical rank and industry rank for George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

RSKIA' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.69   Med: 12.86   Max: 26.63
Current: 12.02

During the past 13 years, George Risk Industries's highest Forward Rate of Return was 26.63. The lowest was -5.69. And the median was 12.86.

RSKIA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
55.26% of 684 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 13.855 vs RSKIA: 12.02

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


George Risk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

George Risk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

George Risk Industries Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.44 6.92 12.04 16.99 13.47

George Risk Industries Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.19 13.47 12.29 11.39 12.32

Competitive Comparison of George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



George Risk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.5767619/11.65+0.0737
=12.32 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


George Risk Industries  (OTCPK:RSKIA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


George Risk Industries Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of George Risk Industries's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


George Risk Industries (George Risk Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
802 South Elm Street, Kimball, NE, USA, 69145
George Risk Industries Inc manufactures security products. The company is engaged in the designing, manufacturing, and sale of various products which include magnetic reed switches as well as keyboards and keyboard switches, proximity sensors, security alarm components, pool access alarms, liquid detection sensors, raceway wire covers, wire, and cable installation tools and various other sensors and devices. These security products are used in alarm system installations in the residential, commercial, industrial, and government sectors and generate maximum revenue for the company.
Executives
Bonita Risk Family Irrevocable Trust 10 percent owner 705 JEFFERSON ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Kenneth R. Risk Revocable Trust Now Irrevocable 10 percent owner 214 W. 9TH ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Bonita Pauline Risk director 802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Stephanie Maire Risk-mcelroy officer: Chief Financial Officer 802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Sharon Alberta Westby officer: Secretary 802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Donna Dean Debowey director 802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145
Daniel Roger Douglas officer: Vice President, Materials 802 S. ELM ST., KIMBALL NE 69145

George Risk Industries (George Risk Industries) Headlines

From GuruFocus

How Much Time Do You Spend Researching a Stock?

By Geoff Gannon Geoff Gannon 11-15-2012

Revisiting a “hidden champion”- George Risk

By whopper investments whopper investments 05-25-2012

Selectivity in Action

By Geoff Gannon Geoff Gannon 07-02-2013

Ken Risk, CEO of George Risk Industries, Passes Away

By whopper investments whopper investments 03-04-2013

Am I a Value Investor?

By Geoff Gannon Geoff Gannon 03-10-2013