What is Precision Castparts Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Precision Castparts's forward rate of return for was 18.79%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
PCP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 8.995 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Precision Castparts Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Precision Castparts Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Precision Castparts Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Precision Castparts (NYSE:PCP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Precision Castparts Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Precision Castparts's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Precision Castparts (Precision Castparts) Business Description
Precision Castparts Corp was incorporated in the State of Oregon. The Company is a manufacturer of complex metal components and products provides high-quality investment castings, forgings and fasteners/fastener systems for critical aerospace and power applications. It also provides investment castings and forgings for general industrial, armament, medical and other applications; nickel alloys and mill forms, as well as cobalt alloys, for the aerospace, chemical processing, oil and gas, pollution control and other industries; seamless pipe for coal-fired, industrial gas turbine, and nuclear power plants, as well as oil and gas applications; fasteners for automotive and general industrial markets; specialty alloys for the investment casting industry; refiner plates, screen cylinders and other products for the pulp and paper industry; metal-injection-molded and ThixoFormedparts for automotive and other markets; grinder pumps and affiliated components for low pressure sewer systems; critical auxiliary equipment and gas monitoring systems for the power generation industry; and metalworking tools for the fastener market and other applications. It manufactures complex metal components and products in three main business segments: Investment Cast Products, Forged Products and Fastener Products. The Company's Investment Cast Products segment manufactures investment castings for aircraft engines, IGT engines, airframes, medical prostheses, armament, unmanned aerial vehicles and other industrial applications. The segment also provides alloys to PCC's investment casting operations, as well as to other investment casting companies. It manufactures forged components for the aerospace and power generation markets. Forged Products' aerospace and IGT sales are mainly derived from the same large engine customers served by the Investment Cast Products segment, with additional aerospace sales to manufacturers of landing gear and airframes. Therefore, the dynamics of the aerospace and IGT markets, as described in the Investment Cast Products section above, are virtually the same for Forged Products. It manufactures forged components for the aerospace and power generation markets. Forged Products' aerospace and IGT sales are mainly derived from the same large engine customers served by the Investment Cast Products segment, with additional aerospace sales to manufacturers of landing gear and airframes. Therefore, the dynamics of the aerospace and IGT markets, as described in the Investment Cast Products section above, are virtually the same for Forged Products. The Company's main competitors are Ladish Co., a subsidiary of Allegheny Technologies, Inc., Fortech, S.A. and Thyssen AG for aerospace turbine products, Alcoa Inc. and Firth Rixson Limited for aerospace structural products, Vallourec & Mannesmann Tubes and Sumitomo Corporation for energy products and Allegheny Technologies, Inc., Carpenter Technology Corporation, Haynes International, Inc., an
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