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Pool (POOL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 22.70% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Pool's forward rate of return for was 22.70%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Pool's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

POOL' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.16   Med: 19.95   Max: 23.41
Current: 22.95

During the past 13 years, Pool's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.41. The lowest was 8.16. And the median was 19.95.

POOL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
75.86% of 116 companies
in the Industrial Distribution industry
Industry Median: 16.295 vs POOL: 22.95

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Pool Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pool's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pool Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.87 15.80 20.95 22.35 22.70

Pool Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.35 22.11 22.34 22.96 22.70

Competitive Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Pool's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pool Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Pool's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pool's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Pool Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Pool's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=10.75028571/398.71+0.2
=22.70 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pool  (NAS:POOL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Pool Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pool's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Pool (POOL) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
109 Northpark Boulevard, Covington, LA, USA, 70433-5001
Pool Corp distributes swimming pool supplies and related products. It sells national-brand and private-label products to approximately 120000 customers. The products include non-discretionary pool-maintenance products, like chemicals and replacement parts, as well as pool equipment, like packaged pools (kits to build swimming pools), cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights. Customers include pool builders and remodelers, independent retail stores, and pool repair and service companies.
Executives
Kristopher Robert Neff officer: Vice President, Strategy & Cor 429 HAMPTON TERRACE, LIBERTYVILLE IL 60048
Jennifer M Neil officer: Secretary SCP POOL CORPORATION, 109 NORTHPARK BLVD, COVINGTON LA 70433
Walker Saik officer: Corporate Controller 5202 CHESTNUT ST, NEW ORLEANS LA 70115
Ilya Mihaly officer: Vice President - Operations & 10703 BEAGLE RUN PL, TAMPA FL 33626
James D Hope director 1390 ENCLAVE PARKWAY, HOUSTON TX 77077
Hart Melanie Housey officer: Chief Accounting Officer POOL CORPORATION, 109 NORTHPARK BLVD, COVINGTON LA 70433
Carlos A. Sabater director 1140 ALFONSO AVENUE, CORAL GABLES FL 33146
Peter D Arvan officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 2537 ST. JAMES DRIVE, UNIT 507, SOUTHPORT NC 28461
Martha S Gervasi director 610 BOWSPRIT LANE, LONGBOAT KEY FL 34228
Perez De La Mesa Manuel J director, officer: President/CEO
Robert C Sledd director 9201 FOREST HILL AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23235
Mark W Joslin officer: Chief Financial Officer SCP POOL CORPORATION, 109 NORTHPARK BLVD, COVINGTON LA 70433
St Romain Kenneth G officer: Group Vice President POOL CORPORATION, 109 NORTHPARK BLVD, COVINGTON LA 70433
David B. Collier officer: VP OPERATIONS & SUPPLY CHAIN 720 EVENING STAR LN, CASTLE ROCK CO 80108
Arthur D Cook officer: Vice President

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