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Gladstone Commercial (Gladstone Commercial) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 10.25% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Gladstone Commercial's forward rate of return for was 10.25%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

GOOD' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.35   Med: 7.43   Max: 17.41
Current: 10.35

During the past 13 years, Gladstone Commercial's highest Forward Rate of Return was 17.41. The lowest was -3.35. And the median was 7.43.

GOOD's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
57.5% of 553 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 8.09 vs GOOD: 10.35

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Gladstone Commercial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gladstone Commercial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.04 9.69 7.11 8.57 10.25

Gladstone Commercial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.57 12.84 12.51 12.20 10.25

Competitive Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gladstone Commercial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Gladstone Commercial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.82895238/13.24+-0.0356
=10.25 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gladstone Commercial  (NAS:GOOD) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Gladstone Commercial Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gladstone Commercial's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gladstone Commercial (Gladstone Commercial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1521 Westbranch Drive, Suite 100, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
Gladstone Commercial Corp is a real estate investment trust, which engages in investing and owning net leased industrial, commercial, and retail real property and making long-term industrial and commercial mortgage loans. Its portfolio consists of single-tenant commercial, industrial real properties, and medical properties nationwide. Its principal investment objectives are to generate income from rental properties.
Executives
Gary Gerson officer: Chief Financial Officer 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 200, MCLEAN VA 22207
Jay Beckhorn officer: Treasurer 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
Arthur S. Cooper officer: Chief Investment Officer 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
Elliott Jr Wislar officer: Chief Investment Officer 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
Paula Novara director 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
Robert G Cutlip officer: President C/O HIGHWOODS PROPERTIES, 3100 SMOKETREE COURT, SUITE 600, RALEIGH NC 27604
Michela A English director C/O GLADSTONE CAPITAL CORP, 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE SUITE 200, MCLEAN VA 22102
Michael Sodo officer: CFO 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
Michael Licalsi other: Affiliate of External Advisor 1521 WESTBRANCH DR., MCLEAN VA 22102
Paul W Adelgren director C/O GLADSTONE CAPITAL CORP, 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE SUITE 200, MCLEAN VA 22102
David Gladstone director, officer: CEO 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 200, MCLEAN VA 22102
Caren D Merrick director 1521 WESTBRANCH, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
Walter H Wilkinson director C/O RF MICRO DEVICES, INC., 7628 THORNDIKE ROAD, GREENSBORO NC 27409
Jennifer A Smith officer: Valuation Officer 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE, SUITE 100, MCLEAN VA 22102
George Iii Stelljes director, officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer C/O GLADSTONE CAPITAL CORP, 1521 WESTBRANCH DRIVE SUITE 200, MCLEAN VA 22102