United States Steel (United States Steel) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is United States Steel Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, United States Steel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of United States Steel's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Steel subindustry, United States Steel's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

United States Steel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, United States Steel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United States Steel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

United States Steel Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.02

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

United States Steel (NYSE:X) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

United States Steel Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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United States Steel (United States Steel) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Steel » United States Steel Corp (NYSE:X) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

X:Mexico 1USX1:Italy USX1:Germany USX1:Germany USX1:Germany USX1:Germany X:Chile USSX34:Brazil X:Argentina

Address

600 Grant Street, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15219-2800

Website

https://www.ussteel.com

United States Steel Corp operates primarily in the United States but also has a steelmaking capacity in Slovakia. The company's operating segments include North American Flat-Rolled (Flat-Rolled), Mini Mill, U. S. Steel Europe (USSE), and Tubular Products (Tubular). The Flat-Rolled segment includes U. S. Steel's integrated steel plants and equity investees in North America involved in the production of slabs, strip mill plates, sheets, and tin mill products, as well as all iron ore and coke production facilities in the United States. It primarily serves North American customers in the service center, conversion, transportation, construction, container, and appliance, and electrical markets.

Executives

Daniel R Brown	officer: SVP Adv. Tech. Steelmaking	600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 1844, C/O UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
David B Burritt	officer: Exec. VP and CFO	600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 1500, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Scott D Buckiso	officer: VP Euro Solutions & Pres USSK	600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Kenneth E Jaycox	officer: SVP & Chief Comm. Officer	600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
James E. Bruno	officer: Sr VP, Automotive Solutions	600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Duane D Holloway	officer: SVP, GC, CCO & Corp. Sec	C/O UNITED STATES STEEL CORPORATION, 600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Alicia J. Davis	director	21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Andrea J. Ayers	director	STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, IN., 1000 STANLEY DRIVE, NEW BRITAIN CT 06053
Richard Fruehauf	officer: Deputy Gen Counsel - Corporate	600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Jessica Graziano	officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Manpreet Grewal	officer: VP, Controller & CAO	600 GRANT STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15219
Christine S Breves	officer: VP & Supply Chain Officer	600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 16059
Terry L Dunlap	director	1000 SIX PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Tracy A Atkinson	director	MFS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, 500 BOYLSTON ST., BOSTON MA 02116
Jeh C. Johnson	director	77 BEALE ST., P.O. BOX 770000, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94177