United Rentals (United Rentals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is United Rentals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, United Rentals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of United Rentals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, United Rentals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

United Rentals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, United Rentals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Rentals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

United Rentals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

United Rentals (NYSE:URI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

United Rentals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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United Rentals (United Rentals) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » United Rentals Inc (NYSE:URI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

UR3:Germany U1RI34:Brazil

Address

100 First Stamford Place, Suite 700, Stamford, CT, USA, 06902

Website

https://www.unitedrentals.com

United Rentals is the world's largest equipment rental company. It principally operates in the United States and Canada, where it commands approximately 17% share in a highly fragmented market. It serves three end markets: general industrial, commercial construction, and residential construction. Like its peers, United Rentals historically has provided its customers with equipment that was intermittently used, such as aerial equipment and portable generators. As the company has grown organically and through hundreds of acquisitions since it went public in 1997, its catalog (fleet size of $21 billion) now includes a range of specialty equipment and other items that can be rented for indefinitely long periods.

Executives

Terri L. Kelly	director	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Michael D Durand	officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Dale A Asplund	officer: Senior V.P.-Business Services	C/O BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS, INC., 980 JOLLY ROAD, SUITE 300, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Anthony S. Leopold	officer: SVP	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Joli L. Gross	officer: SVP, General Counsel	TWO AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
William E. Grace	officer: VP, Interim CFO	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Matthew John Flannery	officer: Sr. Vice President- Operations	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Craig Adam Pintoff	officer: Sr. V.P,, Gen. Counsel & H.R.	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Andrew B. Limoges	officer: VP, Controller	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Jose B Alvarez	director	STOP & SHOP, 1385 HANCOCK STREET, QUINCY MA 02169
Francisco J Lopez-balboa	director	3280 PEACHTREE ROAD, N.W., ATLANTA GA 30305
Jessica Graziano	officer: Vice President, Controller	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Shiv Singh	director	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
De Shon Larry D	director	6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Filippo Passerini	director	C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902