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Tetra Technologies (Tetra Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Tetra Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tetra Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tetra Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services subindustry, Tetra Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tetra Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Tetra Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tetra Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tetra Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tetra Technologies  (NYSE:TTI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tetra Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Tetra Technologies (Tetra Technologies) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Tetra Technologies Inc (NYSE:TTI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
24955 Interstate 45 North, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77380
Tetra Technologies Inc is a diversified oil and gas services company, focused on completion fluids and associated products and services, water management, frac flowback, production well testing, offshore rig cooling, and compression services. It has two reporting segments namely Completion Fluids & Products, and Water & Flowback Services. The Completion Fluids & Products Division manufactures and markets clear brine fluids, additives, and associated products and services. The Water & Flowback Services Division provides onshore oil and gas operators with comprehensive water management services.
Executives
Bates Thomas R Jr director TETRA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Christian A Garcia director 3000 N. SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY E., BLDG. J-4, HOUSTON TX 77032
Roy Mcniven officer: Sr. Vice President 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Matthew Sanderson officer: Sr. Vice President 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Timothy C Moeller officer: VP & Chief Procurement Officer 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Brady M Murphy officer: President & COO 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Elijio V Serrano officer: Sr. Vice President & CFO 24955 INTERSTATE 45 NORTH, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
William D Sullivan director TETRA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Mcgee Sharon D. Booth director 24955 I-45 NORTH, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Richard D O'brien officer: VP-Finance & Global Controller 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Boston Shoemake Alicia R officer: General Counsel 24955 I-45 NORTH, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Shawn D. Williams director 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Gina Luna director 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Wallace Bass C Jr officer: General Counsel & Secretary 24955 INTERSTATE 45 N, THE WOODLANDS X1 77380
Mark E Baldwin director TETRA TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 24955 I 45 N, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380