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Translate Bio (Translate Bio) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Translate Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Translate Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Translate Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Translate Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Translate Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Translate Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Translate Bio's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Translate Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Translate Bio  (NAS:TBIO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Translate Bio Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Translate Bio (Translate Bio) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
29 Hartwell Avenue, Lexington, MA, USA, 02421
Translate Bio Inc is a clinical-stage mRNA therapeutics company developing a new class of potentially transformative medicines to treat diseases caused by protein or gene dysfunction. The company is developing MRT5005, for the treatment of cystic fibrosis (CF) and MRT5201, for the treatment of ornithine transcarbamylase (OTC) deficiency.
Executives
Jean Francois Formela director C/O ATLAS VENTURE, 890 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Renaud Ronald C Jr director, officer: Chief Executive Officer, other: President C/O IDENIX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 60 HAMPSHIRE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02109
Paul D. Burgess officer: Chief Operating Officer, CLO, other: Secretary C/O TRANSLATE BIO, INC., 29 HARTWELL AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Owen Hughes director C/O RADIUS HEALTH, INC., 201 BROADWAY, 6TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02139
Shire Human Genetic Therapies, Inc. 10 percent owner 300 SHIRE WAY LEXINGTON MA 02421
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd 10 percent owner 1-1, NIHONBASHI-HONCHO 2-CHOME, CHUO-KU, TOKYO M0 103-8668
Baupost Group Gp, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 10 ST. JAMES AVENUE, SUITE 1700, BOSTON MA 02116
Seth A Klarman 10 percent owner 10 ST JAMES AVENUE, STE 1700, BOSTON MA 02116
Baupost Group Llc/ma 10 percent owner 10 ST JAMES AVE, SUITE 1700, BOSTON MA 02116
George Demetri director BLUEPRINT MEDICINES CORP., 215 FIRST STREET, SUITE 340/350, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Daniella Beckman director C/O IDENIX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, BLDG. 1400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Robert M Plenge director C/O TRANSLATE BIO, INC., 29 HARTWELL AVENUE, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Daniel Lynch director
Robert J. Meyer director 2505 MERIDIAN PARKWAY, C/O CHIMERIX, INC, SUITE 100, DURHAM NC 27713
Ann Barbier officer: Chief Medical Officer 255 STATE STREET, C/O PIERIS PHARMACEUTICALS,INC., BOSTON MA 02109