GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Royce Micro-Cap Trust Inc (NYSE:RMT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Royce Micro-Cap Trust (Royce Micro-Cap Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2003. Start your Free Trial

What is Royce Micro-Cap Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Royce Micro-Cap Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-11.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Royce Micro-Cap Trust  (NYSE:RMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Royce Micro-Cap Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Royce Micro-Cap Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Royce Micro-Cap Trust (Royce Micro-Cap Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
745 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10151
Royce Micro-Cap Trust Inc is a diversified closed-end investment company. The company is engaged in investing in micro-cap securities. It invests in the consumer discretionary sector including auto components, automobiles, diversified consumer services, hotels, restaurants and leisure, household durables, internet and catalog retail, leisure products, media, multiline retail, textiles, apparel, and luxury goods, Consumer staples sector including beverages, food, and staples retailing, food products, and personal products, Energy sector including energy equipment and services, and oil, gas, and consumable fuels. The company also invests in other sectors including healthcare, financials, industrials, IT, telecommunications, and materials.
Executives
Julia Ward Poston director C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2300, NEW YORK NY 10151
Christopher C. Grisanti director 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2300, NEW YORK NY 10151
O Byrne Daniel A officer: Vice President, other: VP - Investment Advisor ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
G Peter Obrien director C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
Michael K. Shields director C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2300, NEW YORK NY 10151
Christopher D Clark officer: Vice President, other: President - Investment Advisor 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2400, NEW YORK NY 10151
Cecile Burleigh Harper director C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2300, NEW YORK NY 10151
Charles M Royce director, officer: President, other: President-Investment Adviser C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
John E Denneen officer: Secretary, other: Secretary-Investment Adviser C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
Richard M Galkin director, other: Director through 2/26/2016. C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
Arthur S Mehlman director C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
John D Diederich officer: Vice President & Treasurer, other: COO & CFO - Investment Adviser ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
Peter K Hoglund officer: Treasuer, other: CFO Investment Advisor 745 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 2300, NEW YORK NY 10151
W Whitney George director, officer: Vice President, other: VP-Royce, through 11/10/2014 C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151
Fockler Jack E. Jr. officer: Vice President, other: VP - Investment Advisor C/O ROYCE & ASSOCIATES, LLC, 745 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10151