GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » RBC Bearings Inc (NYSE:RBC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

RBC Bearings (RBC Bearings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2005. Start your Free Trial

What is RBC Bearings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



RBC Bearings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.12

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


RBC Bearings  (NYSE:RBC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


RBC Bearings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of RBC Bearings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


RBC Bearings (RBC Bearings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
102 Willenbrock Road, One Tribology Center, Oxford, CT, USA, 06478
RBC Bearings Inc is a manufacturer and marketer of precision bearings and products used in aircraft and mechanical systems. The offering includes plain bearings, roller bearings, ball bearings, and engineered products. The products reduce wear in moving parts, facilitate proper power transmission, reduce damage and energy loss, and control pressure and flow. The primary customers for RBC Bearings are industrial markets and aerospace markets such as construction and mining, oil and natural resource extraction, heavy truck, marine, rail and train, packaging, commercial, private and military aircraft engines, and guided weaponry. The end market is the United States of America.
Executives
Michael H. Ambrose director ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, 102 WILLENBROCK ROAD, OXFORD CT 06478
Michael J Hartnett officer: President and CEO RBC BEARINGS, INC., 102 WILLENBROCK ROAD, ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, OXFORD CT 06478
Richard R Crowell director AURORA CAPITAL PARTNERS LP, 10877 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD SUITE 2100, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Dolores J Ennico director RBC BEARINGS INCORPORATED, ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, OXFORD CT 06478
Robert M Sullivan officer: Corporate Controller 103 STILLWOLD DRIVE, WETHERSFIELD CT 06109
John J. Feeney officer: Vice President and Secretary ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, 102 WILLENBROCK ROAD, OXFORD CT 06478
Steven H. Kaplan director 11 LINDEN SHORES, BRANFORD CT 06405
Patrick S. Bannon officer: V.P. and General Manager 131 WOODS WAY DRIVE, SOUTHBURY CT 06488
Richard J Edwards officer: V.P. and General Manager RBC BEARINGS INCORPORATED, ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, OXFORD CT 06478
Edward Stewart director 5715 EAST CHENEY DRIVE, PARADISE VALLEY AZ 85253
Daniel A Bergeron officer: VP and CFO
Alan B Levine director
Ernest D Hawkins officer: Vice President of Finance 102 WILLENBROCK ROAD, OXFORD CT 06478
Amir Faghri director RBC BEARINGS INCORPORATED, ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, OXFORD CT 06478
Joseph Salamunovich officer: General Counsel and Secretary RBC BEARINGS INCORPORATED, ONE TRIBOLOGY CENTER, OXFORD CT 06478