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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Protalix BioTherapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Protalix BioTherapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Protalix BioTherapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Protalix BioTherapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
= | -7.10 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
= | 0.08% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
NIMTAAVG | = | Net Income | / | Market Total Assets |
= | Net Income | / | (Market Cap + Total Liabilities) |
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
TLMTA | = | Total Liabilities | / | Market Total Assets |
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
CASHMTA | = | Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities | / | Market Total Assets |
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
MB | = | Market Cap | / | Adjusted Book Equity |
= | Market Cap | / | (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity)) |
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Protalix BioTherapeutics (AMEX:PLX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Protalix BioTherapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Dror Bashan | director, officer: President and CEO | 2 SNUNIT ST, SCIENCE PARK, POB 455, CARMIEL L3 L3 20100 |
Eliot Forster | director | C/O EDDEVA B920, BABRAHAM RESEARCH CAMPUS, CAMBRIDGE X0 CB22 3AT |
Aharon Schwartz | director | C/O PROTALIX BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 SNUNIT STREET, SCIENCE PARK, #455, CARMIEL L3 20100 |
Zvi Shmuel Ben | director | 2 SNUNIT STREET, SCIENCE PARK, #455, CARMIEL L3 2161401 |
Dexcel Pharma Technologies Ltd. | 10 percent owner | 1 DEXCEL STREET, OR AKIVA L3 3060000 |
Dan Oren | 10 percent owner | 1 DEXCEL STREET, OR AKIVA L3 30600000 |
Eyal Rubin | officer: Sr. VP and CFO | C/O BRAINSTORM CELL THERAPEUTICS INC.,, 3 UNIVERSITY PLAZA DRIVE, STE 320, HACKENSACK NJ 07601 |
Yaron Naos | officer: Sr. VP, Operations | 2 SNUNIT STREET, SCIENCE PARK, POB 455, CARMIEL L3 20100 |
Yael Hayon | officer: Vice President, R&D | 2 SNUNIT STREET, SCIENCE PARK, POB 455, CARMIEL L3 2161401 |
Zeev Bronfeld | director | 6 URI STREET, TEL AVIV L3 64954 |
Amos Bar-shalev | director | C/O PROTALIX BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 SNUNIT ST, SCIENCE PARK, POB 455, CARMIEL L3 20100 |
David Granot | director | 6225 NEIL ROAD, RENO NV 89511 |
Pol F Boudes | director | C/O CYMABAY THERAPEUTICS, INC., 7575 GATEWAY BLVD., SUITE 110, NEWARK CA 94560 |
Gwen A Melincoff | director | C/O TOBIRA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 701 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080 |
Moshe Manor | officer: President & CEO | C/O PROTALIX BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 2 SNUNIT STREET, SCIENCE PARK, #455, CARMIEL L3 20100 |
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