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Prestige Consumer Healthcare (Prestige Consumer Healthcare) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Prestige Consumer Healthcare Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Prestige Consumer Healthcare's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Prestige Consumer Healthcare's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Prestige Consumer Healthcare's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Prestige Consumer Healthcare's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Prestige Consumer Healthcare's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Prestige Consumer Healthcare's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Prestige Consumer Healthcare Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Prestige Consumer Healthcare  (NYSE:PBH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Prestige Consumer Healthcare Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Prestige Consumer Healthcare (Prestige Consumer Healthcare) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
660 White Plains Road, Tarrytown, NY, USA, 10591
Prestige Consumer Healthcare is one of the largest pure-play over-the-counter healthcare providers. It has a diverse portfolio composed of leading brands in niche consumer health categories. Prestige's key brands include Clear Eyes (redness relief), Dramamine (motion sickness relief), Monistat (vaginal anti-fungal), and Summer's Eve (feminine hygiene), and many of its brands enjoy category leadership and recommendations from medical professionals. The firm mainly plays in North America where it generates roughly 85% of its total revenue, and the remaining sales come from Australia, New Zealand, and certain Asian markets.
Executives
Mary Beth Fritz officer: Senior VP Quality & Regulatory 660 WHITE PLAINS RD, 2ND FL, TARRYTOWN NY 10591
Ronald M. Lombardi officer: Chief Executive Officer 660 WHITE PLAINS RD., TARRYTOWN NY 10591
James Darecca director C/O HAEMONETICS CORPORATION, 125 SUMMER STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Christine Sacco officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SMART BALANCE, INC., 115 WEST CENTURY ROAD, SUITE 260, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Adel Mekhail other: EVP, Marketing & Sales 660 WHITE PLAINS RD., 2ND FL, TARRYTOWN NY 10591
William P'pool officer: See Remarks 2400 WEST LLOYD EXPRESSWAY, EVANSVILLE IL 47721
Celeste A. Clark director C/O ADVANCEPIERRE FOODS HOLDINGS, INC., 9987 CARVER ROAD, BLUE ASH OH 45242
Christopher J Coughlin director
Natale S Ricciardi director C/O MORRIS COMMUNICATIONS CORP, 725 BROAD ST., AUGUSTA GA 30903
James M Jenness director PO BOX 3599, BATTLECREEK MI 49016-3599
John E Byom director 660 WHITE PLAINS RD., TARRYTOWN NY 10591
Sheila Hopkins director C/O WARNACO INC, 90 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Dawn M. Zier director 600 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Jeffrey Zerillo officer: Senior VP Operations 660 WHITE PLAINS RD, 2ND FL, TARRYTOWN NY 10591
Timothy Connors officer: Chief Marketing Officer 660 WHITE PLAINS RD., SUITE 205, TARRYTOWN NY 10591